Result
4:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 32
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Lavelle T. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Blakeman A. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 1, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 2, Pedro D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', 3 - 2, Blakeman A. ⚽,
- 67', 4 - 2, Ellis M. ⚽,
- 84', Murphy-Worrell P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chorley 43.3% | Draw 26.5% | Southport 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chorley's form might have worsened.Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chorley - Southport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (1.82) |
3.48 ↓ (3.52) |
3.04 ↓ (3.8) |
8.8% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chorley - Southport?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Southport (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Southport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Chorley is a strong favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Southport?
Chorley has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southport won against Chorley?
Southport has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Southport were as follows:
21.10.2025
Southport
-
Chorley
1:1
25.01.2025
Southport
-
Chorley
0:0
26.08.2024
Chorley
-
Southport
3:1
17.02.2024
Chorley
-
Southport
3:0
28.08.2023
Southport
-
Chorley
0:2
Latest results of Chorley
Latest results of Southport
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |