Hoffenheim vs Hertha Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin
Result
3:1
18/03/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 25
  • Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
46.6%
Draw
27.6%
Hertha Berlin
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 26% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 25.6% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.95)
    3.48
    (3.64)
    3.7
    (3.73)
    4.4%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Hertha will win (votes: 2 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 18.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 57.6%90.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).
    • Hoffenheim has the most likely position - 18 (21.78%), project points - 31, currently - 19, a chance of relegated (44%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Hertha has the most likely position - 18 (20.38%), project points - 31, currently - 21, a chance of relegated (44%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 62, big importance 70, match rating 66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3.
    • Hoffenheim has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Hertha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Hoffenheim will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Hip Injury) Bruun Larsen J. (Groin Injury) Che J. (Knee Injury) Dolberg K. (Head Injury) Kabak O. (Red Card) Nsoki S. (Hip Injury) Promel G. (Ankle Injury) Rudy S. (Hip Injury) Vogt K. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Hertha: Boateng K. (Illness) Boetius J-P. (Shoulder Injury) Ejuke C. (Knee Injury) Jarstein R. (Injury) Nsona K. (Knee Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Hertha to win the game is with odds 3.47.
    • Last 21 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Hertha Berlin - Hoffenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    12.03.2023 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    04.03.2023 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:0
    17.02.2023 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 1:0
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich660025:32218
    2Dortmund642012:4814
    3RB Leipzig64118:8013
    4Bayer Leverkusen632112:8411
    5FC Koln631211:9210
    6Eintracht Frankfurt630317:1619
    7Stuttgart53027:619
    8Freiburg52129:907
    9St. Pauli62138:9-17
    10Hoffenheim62139:12-37
    11Werder Bremen62139:14-57
    12Union Berlin62138:13-57
    13Augsburg620411:13-26
    14Wolfsburg61238:10-25
    15Hamburger SV51222:8-65
    16Mainz51135:6-14
    17Heidenheim51044:10-63
    18B. Monchengladbach50235:12-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga