Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 00:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NPB
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | J sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Hits |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Home Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Runs batted in |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Base on Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Strikeouts |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Stolen bases |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| At bat |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Batting Average |
|---|
| 0.179 | 0.182 |
Chances of winning
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
57.6% | Tokyo Yakult Swallows
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Tokyo Yakult Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Hiroshima Toyo Carp aligns with the current prediction.The ML Model estimate for Tokyo Yakult Swallows aligns with the current prediction.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63
(1.63) |
|
2.24 ↓
(2.29) |
6.2%
(5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 6.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Hiroshima Toyo Carp will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 4.
- Hiroshima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tokyo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Hiroshima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:46. (average 3.2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:10. (average 3.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hiroshima Toyo Carp won against Tokyo Yakult Swallows?
Hiroshima Toyo Carp has won 39 of their last 85 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Yakult Swallows won against Hiroshima Toyo Carp?
Tokyo Yakult Swallows has won 43 of their last 85 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows were as follows:
03.10.2025
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
-
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
1:6
27.09.2025
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
-
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
3:1
26.09.2025
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
-
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
11:1
15.09.2025
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
-
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
6:2
14.09.2025
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
-
Tokyo Yakult Swallows
6:8
Latest results of Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Latest results of Tokyo Yakult Swallows
NPB Table
MainCentral Division | | Pl | W | D | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Hanshin Tigers | 143 | 85 | 4 | 54 | 496:352 | 0.612 |
| 2 | Yokohama BayStars | 143 | 71 | 6 | 66 | 510:456 | 0.518 |
| 3 | Yomiuri Giants | 143 | 70 | 4 | 69 | 463:461 | 0.504 |
| 4 | Chunichi Dragons | 143 | 63 | 2 | 78 | 403:463 | 0.447 |
| 5 | Hiroshima Carp | 143 | 59 | 5 | 79 | 441:497 | 0.428 |
| 6 | Yakult Swallows | 143 | 57 | 7 | 79 | 443:564 | 0.419 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | D | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Fukuoka S. Hawks | 143 | 87 | 4 | 52 | 551:389 | 0.626 |
| 2 | Nippon Ham Fighters | 143 | 83 | 3 | 57 | 548:409 | 0.593 |
| 3 | Orix Buffaloes | 143 | 74 | 3 | 66 | 502:519 | 0.529 |
| 4 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 143 | 67 | 2 | 74 | 446:526 | 0.475 |
| 5 | Seibu Lions | 143 | 63 | 3 | 77 | 410:465 | 0.450 |
| 6 | Chiba Lotte Marines | 143 | 56 | 3 | 84 | 441:553 | 0.400 |
Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
