Result
4:2
20/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (408/490) | 82% (417/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.92 | 2.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (408/490) | 82% (417/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (100/132) | 72% (120/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.22 | 2.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Hostikka S. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Ring A. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
- 35', 3 - 0, Pukki T. ⚽, Ring A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Bojang M. ↓, Karjalainen R. ↑,
- 49', Oksanen G. 🟨,
- 55', Vaisto O. 🟨,
- 56', 4 - 0, Machaal A. (Own goal),
- 61', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Ritari M. ↑,
- 61', Pukki T. ↓, Ezeh D. ↑,
- 62', Machaal A. ↓, Paananen K. ↑,
- 62', Arsalo M. ↓, Padera P. ↑,
- 66', Tikkanen V. ↓, Boamah M. ↑,
- 66', Ylitolva M. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 1, Karjalainen R. (Pen),
- 81', Ring A. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 88', 4 - 2, Gasc V. R. ⚽, Mastokangas E. (A),
- 88', Koivisto T. ↓, Laine L. ↑,
- 90', Gasc V. R. ↓, Tessilimi O. ↑,
Chances of winning
HJK
65% | Draw
19.7% | SJK
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HJK's performance.SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HJK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
HJK - SJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.67) |
4.8 ↑
(4.15) |
6.24 ↑
(4.69) |
4.9%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for HJK - SJK?
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): HJK will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 2.
- HJK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- SJK has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- HJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, HJK is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in HJK: Kallinen J.
(Inactive)
Moller L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in SJK: Pires K.
(Inactive)
Yussif S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against SJK?
HJK has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SJK won against HJK?
SJK has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - SJK were as follows:
11.04.2025
SJK
-
HJK
1:0
14.09.2024
HJK
-
SJK
2:2
07.06.2024
HJK
-
SJK
4:1
24.04.2024
SJK
-
HJK
3:3
24.09.2023
SJK
-
HJK
2:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
