Result
3:4
22/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Referee: Reitala O. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 2.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (562/617) | 78% (213/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 2.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 3.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (562/617) | 78% (213/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (159/197) | 70% (44/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.69 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Streng J. ⚽, Laine L. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Michel B. ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
- 27', 1 - 2, Vargas A. ⚽, Laine L. (A),
- 36', Bogicevic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Moller L. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
- 49', Vargas A. 🟨,
- 57', Obileye A. 🟨,
- 59', Ring A. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
- 60', Paananen K. 🟨,
- 61', Vargas A. ↓, Vaisto O. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 2, Pukki T. (Pen),
- 67', Ylitolva M. 🟨,
- 71', Paananen K. ↓, Tessilimi O. ↑,
- 71', Streng J. ↓, Mastokangas E. ↑,
- 79', Laine L. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
- 79', Yussif S. ↓, Appiah Nyarko K. ↑,
- 85', Kallinen J. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Obileye A. (Own goal),
- 90+1', 3 - 3, Wilson A. ⚽, Fati B. (A),
- 90+3', Michel B. ↓, Tahiri A. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 4, Tessilimi O. ⚽, Fati B. (A),
- 90+7', Tessilimi O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
HJK
48.5% | Draw
22.3% | SJK
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HJK - SJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.71) |
4.23 ↑
(4.2) |
3.28 ↓
(3.7) |
5.8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for HJK - SJK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HJK (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 2.
- In recent matches, HJK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SJK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- HJK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in HJK: Antzoulas G.
(Inactive)
Ezeh D.
(Inactive)
Kanellopoulos G.
(Inactive)
Lyons-Foster B.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in SJK: Chukwudi S.
(Face Injury)
- There are questionable in HJK: Ost J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:25. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against SJK?
HJK has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SJK won against HJK?
SJK has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HJK - SJK were as follows:
13.09.2025
SJK
-
HJK
3:3
20.05.2025
HJK
-
SJK
4:2
11.04.2025
SJK
-
HJK
1:0
14.09.2024
HJK
-
SJK
2:2
07.06.2024
HJK
-
SJK
4:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 62:34 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | Ilves | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:45 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | SJK | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 70:51 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 | HJK | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 74:52 | 22 | 49 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 47:65 | -18 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
