Hoffenheim II vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 12
  • Referee: Grund F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
129
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
48
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1912
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1015

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Tohumcu U. , Amaimouni A. (A),
  • 6', Malone R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tohumcu U. , Llugiqi A. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Zobel T. ,
  • 61', Mokwa Ntusu D. , Hennrich P. ,
  • 61', Zeitler D. , Labes B. O. ,
  • 61', Bahr F. , Erlein L. ,
  • 68', Reisig R. 🟨,
  • 73', Seidel P. 🟨,
  • 80', Clausen M. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 80', Ehlers J. , Schmid M. ,
  • 84', Guttau J. , Fabisch J. ,
  • 89', Duric L. , Dagdeviren D. ,
  • 90+1', Seidel P. , Simnica L. ,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim II
49.4%
Draw
24.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 24% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 23.4% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Hoffenheim II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Hoffenheim II - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.88)
    3.84
    (3.87)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim II - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Aue (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Hoffenheim II will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 1 - 50%). Aue (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Hoffenheim II might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Hoffenheim II
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck29177549:262358
    2Cottbus29158654:431153
    3RW Essen291410559:481152
    4Verl29149667:412651
    5Duisburg29149652:401251
    6Hansa Rostock291311552:322050
    7Munich 186029147845:37849
    8Wehen29146942:321048
    9Mannheim291331347:53-642
    10Alemannia Aachen291251251:50141
    11Ingolstadt291010949:391040
    12Viktoria Koln291151340:39138
    13Stuttgart II291151335:46-1138
    14Regensburg291061337:43-636
    15Hoffenheim II291051453:53035
    16Saarbrucken297121040:43-333
    17Aue29591533:52-1924
    18Ulm29731938:61-2324
    19TSV Havelse29581641:64-2323
    20Schweinfurt29422326:68-4214

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation