Hoffenheim II vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
26/10/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 12
  • Referee: Grund F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
48
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
129
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
48
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1912
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
1015

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Tohumcu U. , Amaimouni A. (A),
  • 6', Malone R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Tohumcu U. , Llugiqi A. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Zobel T. ,
  • 61', Mokwa Ntusu D. , Hennrich P. ,
  • 61', Zeitler D. , Labes B. O. ,
  • 61', Bahr F. , Erlein L. ,
  • 68', Reisig R. 🟨,
  • 73', Seidel P. 🟨,
  • 80', Clausen M. , Weinhauer E. ,
  • 80', Ehlers J. , Schmid M. ,
  • 84', Guttau J. , Fabisch J. ,
  • 89', Duric L. , Dagdeviren D. ,
  • 90+1', Seidel P. , Simnica L. ,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim II
49.4%
Draw
24.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 24% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 23.4% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Hoffenheim II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Hoffenheim II - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.88)
    3.84
    (3.87)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    7.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim II - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Aue (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Hoffenheim II will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 1 - 50%). Aue (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Hoffenheim II might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Hoffenheim II
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cottbus25146551:381348
    2Duisburg25137546:321446
    3VfL Osnabruck25137538:241446
    4Verl25128560:382244
    5RW Essen251110448:41743
    6Wehen25125838:281041
    7Hansa Rostock251010541:281340
    8Munich 186025116840:35539
    9Ingolstadt2599744:341036
    10Mannheim251131141:46-536
    11Viktoria Koln251051036:33335
    12Stuttgart II251051032:40-835
    13Hoffenheim II25951147:45232
    14Alemannia Aachen25951142:46-432
    15Regensburg25941233:38-531
    16Saarbrucken25610933:36-328
    17Aue25591128:40-1224
    18Ulm25721633:51-1823
    19TSV Havelse25471435:55-2019
    20Schweinfurt25312121:59-3810

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation