Mainz vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Mainz - Hoffenheim
21/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Mainz
40.7%
Draw
25.7%
Hoffenheim
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 25% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 26.6% 31.6%

Mainz - Hoffenheim Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.34
(2.3)
3.76
(3.8)
2.9
(2.83)
3.9%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Mainz - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 3.
    • Mainz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mainz won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mainz won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mainz - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0
    01.12.2024 Mainz - Hoffenheim 2:0
    13.04.2024 Mainz - Hoffenheim 4:1
    26.11.2023 Hoffenheim - Mainz 1:1
    04.03.2023 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:0
    Latest results of Mainz
    06.11.2025 Mainz - Fiorentina 2:1
    01.11.2025 Mainz - Werder Bremen 1:1
    29.10.2025 Mainz - Stuttgart 0:2
    26.10.2025 Stuttgart - Mainz 2:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    08.11.2025 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 3:1
    02.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:3
    28.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 3:2
    25.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 3:1
    19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich1091035:62928
    2RB Leipzig1071220:13722
    3Dortmund1063116:7921
    4Stuttgart1070317:12521
    5Bayer Leverkusen1062224:141020
    6Hoffenheim1061321:16519
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1052323:19417
    8Werder Bremen1043315:18-315
    9FC Koln1042417:15214
    10Freiburg1034313:14-113
    11Union Berlin1033413:17-412
    12B. Monchengladbach1023513:19-69
    13Hamburger SV102359:16-79
    14Wolfsburg1022612:18-68
    15Augsburg1021714:24-107
    16St. Pauli102179:20-117
    17Mainz1012710:18-85
    18Heidenheim101278:23-155

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga