Result
1:2
04/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 5 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 3 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Sport 2 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (394/497) | 69% (213/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (394/497) | 69% (213/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/64) | 36% (31/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (112/175) | 57% (55/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Kohr D. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Tietz P. ⚽, Mwene P. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Asllani F. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 37', Kohr D. ↓, Potulski K. ↑,
- 45', Kabak O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Widmer S. ↓, Veratschnig N. ↑,
- 47', Coufal V. 🟨,
- 61', Coufal V. ↓, Avdullahu L. ↑,
- 61', Asllani F. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
- 75', Becker S. ↓, Sieb A. ↑,
- 76', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Tietz P. ⚽,
- 79', Burger W. 🟨,
- 80', Baumann O. 🟨,
- 84', Prass A. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
- 87', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 87', Nebel P. ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
55.5% | Draw
24.3% | Mainz
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mainz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Hoffenheim - Mainz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72
(1.72) |
3.93 ↓
(4.21) |
4.74 ↑
(4.28) |
4.6%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Mainz?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Mainz will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 46.9% – 78.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Hoffenheim (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Hoffenheim (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Hoffenheim (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Mainz (3.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Mainz (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
- Hoffenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mainz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Hoffenheim is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V.
(Ankle Injury)
Hlozek A.
(Calf Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mainz: Amiri N.
(Heel Injury)
Bell S.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Caci A.
(Thigh Injury)
Dal M.
(Knee Injury)
Hanche-Olsen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Hollerbach B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silas
(Broken shinbone)
Zentner R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Avdullahu L.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Mainz?
Hoffenheim has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mainz won against Hoffenheim?
Mainz has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Mainz were as follows:
21.11.2025
Mainz
-
Hoffenheim
1:1
12.04.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Mainz
2:0
01.12.2024
Mainz
-
Hoffenheim
2:0
13.04.2024
Mainz
-
Hoffenheim
4:1
26.11.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Mainz
1:1
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
