Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
08/11/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 10
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.81
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
79% (364/458)83% (392/475)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.81
xG on target (xGOT)
2.022.17
Total shots
1217
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1727
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
513
Passes
79% (364/458)83% (392/475)
Long passes
40% (20/50)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
63% (86/136)75% (88/118)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.841.53
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
135
Tackles
63% (15/24)76% (16/21)
Duels won
5362
Clearances
2629
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.172.02
Goals prevented
1.17-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 6', Bernardo 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Diomande Y. , Ouedraogo A. (A),
  • 12', Raum D. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Hajdari A. , Burger W. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 1, Lemperle T. , Coufal V. (A),
  • 41', Avdullahu L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Kramaric A. , Asllani F. ,
  • 67', Diomande Y. , Bakayoko J. ,
  • 67', Ouedraogo A. , Banzuzi E. ,
  • 72', Lemperle T. 🟨,
  • 75', Seiwald N. , Harder C. ,
  • 75', Toure B. , Prass A. ,
  • 76', Lemperle T. , Bebou I. ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Promel G. , Asllani F. (A),
  • 87', Promel G. , Damar M. ,
  • 87', Bernardo , Kabak O. ,
  • 88', Baku R. , Klostermann L. ,
  • 88', Nusa A. , Gomis T. ,
  • 90', Bakayoko J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
34.8%
Draw
24.7%
RB Leipzig
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 25.1% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 25% 40.2%

Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.75
(2.74)
3.88
(3.78)
2.37
(2.37)
4.4%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 59.7%87.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
    • In recent matches, Hoffenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • RB Leipzig is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Personal Reasons) Nedeljkovic K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Arthur Chaves (Face Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Lukeba C. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    23.11.2024 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 4:3
    03.05.2024 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 1:1
    16.12.2023 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    01.02.2023 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    02.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:3
    28.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 3:2
    25.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 3:1
    19.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 0:3
    03.10.2025 Hoffenheim - Köln 0:1
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    01.11.2025 RB Leipzig - Stuttgart 3:1
    25.10.2025 Augsburg - RB Leipzig 0:6
    18.10.2025 RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV 2:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich15132055:114441
    2Dortmund1595126:121432
    3Bayer Leverkusen1592433:201329
    4RB Leipzig1592430:191129
    5Hoffenheim1583429:20927
    6Stuttgart1582525:22326
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1574430:30025
    8Union Berlin1563620:23-321
    9Freiburg1555525:26-120
    10Werder Bremen1545618:28-1017
    11FC Koln1544722:24-216
    12B. Monchengladbach1544718:24-616
    13Hamburger SV1544716:25-916
    14Wolfsburg1543823:28-515
    15Augsburg1542917:28-1114
    16St. Pauli1533913:26-1312
    17Heidenheim15321013:34-2111
    18Mainz1515913:26-138

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga