Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (536/605) | 80% (240/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (536/605) | 80% (240/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 52% (27/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (150/191) | 61% (42/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.46 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 27 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', Toure B. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Bischof T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
- 28', Ostigard L. 🟥,
- 43', 2 - 1, Baku R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Baku R. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
- 46', Vermeeren A. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
- 46', Bulter M. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
- 72', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
- 73', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
- 73', Seiwald N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
- 76', Tabakovic H. ↓, Orban G. ↑,
- 81', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 82', Arthur Chaves ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
- 82', Toure B. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 1, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Gomis T. (A),
- 89', Kramaric A. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
- 90', Orban G. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2sckrtax
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig
57.9% | Draw
22.3% | Hoffenheim
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.53) |
4.34 ↓
(4.66) |
4.9 ↓
(5.74) |
4.3%
(4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 65.7% – 95.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 3.
- RB Leipzig is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Hoffenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nusa A.
(Knee Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Knee Injury)
Schlager X.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I.
(Knee Injury)
Kabak O.
(Knee Injury)
Lenz C.
(Calf Injury)
Prass A.
(Ankle Injury)
Promel G.
(Knee Injury)
Samassekou D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Kampl K.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Hlozek A.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34:25 (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Hoffenheim?
RB Leipzig has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against RB Leipzig?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim were as follows:
23.11.2024
Hoffenheim
-
RB Leipzig
4:3
03.05.2024
Hoffenheim
-
RB Leipzig
1:1
16.12.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Hoffenheim
3:1
01.02.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Hoffenheim
3:1
05.11.2022
Hoffenheim
-
RB Leipzig
1:3
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
