RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim
Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 28
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 3
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.79
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
89% (536/605)80% (240/299)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.600.84
Total shots
169
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3014
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1310
Passes
89% (536/605)80% (240/299)
Long passes
50% (13/26)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
79% (150/191)61% (42/69)
Crosses
21% (6/28)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.46
Fouls
1013
Tackles
47% (7/15)56% (5/9)
Duels won
4327
Clearances Total
2026
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.841.60
Goals prevented
-0.16-1.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', Toure B. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Bischof T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
  • 28', Ostigard L. 🟥,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Baku R. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Baku R. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
  • 46', Vermeeren A. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
  • 46', Bulter M. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
  • 72', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 73', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
  • 73', Seiwald N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
  • 76', Tabakovic H. ↓, Orban G. ↑,
  • 81', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 82', Arthur Chaves ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
  • 82', Toure B. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Gomis T. (A),
  • 89', Kramaric A. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
  • 90', Orban G. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2sckrtax

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
57.9%		Draw
22.3%		Hoffenheim
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 20.6% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 20% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.65 ↑
    (1.53)    		 4.34 ↓
    (4.66)    		 4.9 ↓
    (5.74)    		 4.3%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 65.7% – 95.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 3.
    • RB Leipzig is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Hoffenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Prass A. (Ankle Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Kampl K. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Hlozek A. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34:25 (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 4:3
    03.05.2024 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 1:1
    16.12.2023 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    01.02.2023 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1
    05.11.2022 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 1:3
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    02.04.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺
    01.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Mainz 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1 ✺
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Bochum - Hoffenheim 0:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Hoffenheim - Stuttgart 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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