Result
3:1
05/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 28
- Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 3, Play Sports 1 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | RCTI+ |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Viaplay |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 3 |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.72 | 0.79 |
Ball Possession |
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67% | 33% |
Total shots |
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16 | 9 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 2 |
Passes |
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89% (536/605) | 80% (240/299) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 3 |
Red Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.72 | 0.79 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.60 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
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16 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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30 | 14 |
Offsides |
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2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 10 |
Passes |
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89% (536/605) | 80% (240/299) |
Long passes |
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50% (13/26) | 52% (27/52) |
Passes in final third |
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79% (150/191) | 61% (42/69) |
Crosses |
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21% (6/28) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.54 | 0.46 |
Fouls |
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10 | 13 |
Tackles |
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47% (7/15) | 56% (5/9) |
Duels won |
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43 | 27 |
Clearances Total |
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20 | 26 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.84 | 1.60 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.16 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', Toure B. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Bischof T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
- 28', Ostigard L. 🟥,
- 43', 2 - 1, Baku R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Baku R. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
- 46', Vermeeren A. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
- 46', Bulter M. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
- 72', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
- 73', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,
- 73', Seiwald N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
- 76', Tabakovic H. ↓, Orban G. ↑,
- 81', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 82', Arthur Chaves ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
- 82', Toure B. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
- 84', 3 - 1, Poulsen Y. ⚽, Gomis T. (A),
- 89', Kramaric A. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
- 90', Orban G. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2sckrtax
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig 57.9% | Draw 22.3% | Hoffenheim 19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↑ (1.53) |
4.34 ↓ (4.66) |
4.9 ↓ (5.74) |
4.3% (4.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 65.7% – 95.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 3.
- RB Leipzig is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Hoffenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nusa A.
(Knee Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Knee Injury)
Schlager X.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I.
(Knee Injury)
Kabak O.
(Knee Injury)
Lenz C.
(Calf Injury)
Prass A.
(Ankle Injury)
Promel G.
(Knee Injury)
Samassekou D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Kampl K.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Hlozek A.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 34:25 (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Hoffenheim?
RB Leipzig has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against RB Leipzig?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim were as follows:
23.11.2024
Hoffenheim
-
RB Leipzig
4:3
03.05.2024
Hoffenheim
-
RB Leipzig
1:1
16.12.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Hoffenheim
3:1
01.02.2023
RB Leipzig
-
Hoffenheim
3:1
05.11.2022
Hoffenheim
-
RB Leipzig
1:3
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga