RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

Bundesliga - Round 27
Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.40	0.78
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
9	2
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
1	3
Passes
84% (381/451)	82% (355/434)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.40	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
3.79	0.54
Total shots
14	8
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
9	6
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
4	0
Corner kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
32	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
5	1
Free kicks
16	8
Passes
84% (381/451)	82% (355/434)
Long passes
52% (27/52)	37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
69% (72/104)	65% (59/91)
Crosses
33% (3/9)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.97	0.48
Throw ins
20	22
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
68% (13/19)	45% (10/22)
Duels won
58	45
Clearances
33	19
Interceptions
13	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.54	3.79
Goals prevented
0.54	-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
15', Orban W. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Gruda B. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Raum D. (A),
23', Bernardo 🟨,
30', 3 - 0, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),
44', 4 - 0, Gruda B. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hranac R. ↓, Hajdari A. ↑,
46', Asllani F. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
66', Schlager X. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
66', Diomande Y. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
69', Toure B. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
69', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
76', Romulo Cardoso ↓, Harder C. ↑,
76', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,
76', Bernardo ↓, Damar M. ↑,
78', 5 - 0, Henrichs B. ⚽, Nusa A. (A),
82', Raum D. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,

Chances of winning

RB Leipzig
48.9%

Draw
23.7%

Hoffenheim
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

22.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	4.03 ↓ (4.18)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	4.5% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim?

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 46 - 73%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 5 - 7.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 62% – 84%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - RB Leipzig (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
RB Leipzig might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Gulacsi P. (Knee Injury) Nedeljkovic K. (Back Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hoffenheim: Avdullahu L. (Muscle Injury) Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Hoffenheim?

RB Leipzig has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against RB Leipzig?

Hoffenheim has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim were as follows:

08.11.2025 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 3:1

05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1

23.11.2024 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 4:3

03.05.2024 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 1:1

16.12.2023 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1

Latest results of RB Leipzig

15.03.2026 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

07.03.2026 RB Leipzig - Augsburg 2:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Hamburger SV - RB Leipzig 1:2 ✺

21.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺

15.02.2026 RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Hoffenheim

14.03.2026 Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 1:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Heidenheim - Hoffenheim 2:4 ✺

28.02.2026 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Köln - Hoffenheim 2:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 3:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	27	22	4	1	97:25	72	70
2	Dortmund	27	18	7	2	58:28	30	61
3	Stuttgart	27	16	5	6	56:36	20	53
4	RB Leipzig	27	15	5	7	53:35	18	50
5	Hoffenheim	27	15	5	7	54:39	15	50
6	Bayer Leverkusen	27	13	7	7	52:36	16	46
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	27	10	8	9	50:51	-1	38
8	Freiburg	27	10	7	10	39:44	-5	37
9	Union Berlin	27	8	7	12	31:46	-15	31
10	Augsburg	27	9	4	14	33:50	-17	31
11	Mainz	27	7	9	11	33:42	-9	30
12	Hamburger SV	27	7	9	11	31:40	-9	30
13	B. Monchengladbach	27	7	8	12	33:46	-13	29
14	Werder Bremen	27	7	7	13	30:47	-17	28
15	FC Koln	27	6	8	13	38:47	-9	26
16	St. Pauli	27	6	6	15	24:44	-20	24
17	Wolfsburg	27	5	6	16	35:57	-22	21
18	Heidenheim	27	3	6	18	27:61	-34	15

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga