Result
1:3
04/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 32
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Greece | Nova Sports Start |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, RCTI+, Vidio |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 3 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 9, SportKlub 3 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.19 | 2.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
72% | 28% |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
88% (517/590) | 71% (168/236) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.19 | 2.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.13 | 2.50 |
Total shots |
---|
27 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
16 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
47 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
20 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
88% (517/590) | 71% (168/236) |
Long passes |
---|
65% (35/54) | 33% (15/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
79% (186/235) | 38% (15/39) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (16/43) | 0% (0/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.35 | 0.53 |
Throw-ins |
---|
44 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
4 | 20 |
Tackles |
---|
64% (7/11) | 68% (17/25) |
Duels won |
---|
60 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
7 | 52 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.50 | 3.13 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.50 | 2.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 25', 0 - 1, Machino S. (Pen),
- 39', Machino S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 40', 0 - 2, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 3, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
- 53', Zesiger C. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
- 54', Wolf M. ↓, Koudossou H. ↑,
- 56', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
- 63', Komur M. ↓, Maier A. ↑,
- 63', Essende S. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
- 74', Gigovic A. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
- 74', Skrzybski S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
- 79', Onyeka F. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
- 85', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 3, Mounie S. ⚽, Tietz P. (A),
- 90+4', Remberg N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Augsburg 52.3% | Draw 25% | Holstein Kiel 22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Augsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Augsburg - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↑ (1.72) |
3.87 ↓ (4.04) |
4.22 ↓ (4.73) |
4% (3.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 53.9% – 93.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Augsburg is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Augsburg: Banks N.
(Muscle Injury)
Berisha M.
(Injury)
Kabadayi Y.
(Knee Injury)
Kucuksahin M.
(Injury)
Oxford R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Ivezic M.
(Yellow Cards)
Kelati A. Y.
(Thigh Injury)
Kleine-Bekel C.
(Knee Injury)
Komenda M.
(Thigh Injury)
Nekic I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Augsburg won against Holstein Kiel?
Augsburg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Augsburg?
Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
21.12.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
Augsburg
5:1
Latest results of Augsburg
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga