Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
04/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, RCTI+, Vidio
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9, SportKlub 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.192.15
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
277
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
110
Passes
88% (517/590)71% (168/236)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
3.192.15
xG on target (xGOT)
3.132.50
Total shots
277
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
111
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
478
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
204
Passes
88% (517/590)71% (168/236)
Long passes
65% (35/54)33% (15/46)
Passes in final third
79% (186/235)38% (15/39)
Crosses
37% (16/43)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.53
Throw-ins
4422
Fouls
420
Tackles
64% (7/11)68% (17/25)
Duels won
6050
Clearances
752
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
2.503.13
Goals prevented
-0.502.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Machino S. (Pen),
  • 39', Machino S. , Harres P. ,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Bernhardsson A. , Skrzybski S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 0 - 3, Bernhardsson A. , Skrzybski S. (A),
  • 53', Zesiger C. , Tietz P. ,
  • 54', Wolf M. , Koudossou H. ,
  • 56', Bernhardsson A. , Knudsen M. ,
  • 63', Komur M. , Maier A. ,
  • 63', Essende S. , Mounie S. ,
  • 74', Gigovic A. , Schulz M. ,
  • 74', Skrzybski S. , Arp J.-F. ,
  • 79', Onyeka F. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 85', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Mounie S. , Tietz P. (A),
  • 90+4', Remberg N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Augsburg
52.3%
Draw
25%
Holstein Kiel
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 23.8% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 23.1% 19.7%

Augsburg - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(1.72)
3.87
(4.04)
4.22
(4.73)
4%
(3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Augsburg - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 53.9%93.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Augsburg (1.46) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Augsburg is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Banks N. (Muscle Injury) Berisha M. (Injury) Kabadayi Y. (Knee Injury) Kucuksahin M. (Injury) Oxford R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Ivezic M. (Yellow Cards) Kelati A. Y. (Thigh Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Holstein Kiel - Augsburg 5:1
    Latest results of Augsburg
    12.04.2025 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2
    04.04.2025 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich13121049:94037
    2RB Leipzig1392228:131529
    3Dortmund1384123:111228
    4Bayer Leverkusen1372428:19923
    5Hoffenheim1372425:19623
    6Stuttgart1371521:22-122
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1363428:29-121
    8FC Koln1344522:21116
    9Freiburg1344520:22-216
    10B. Monchengladbach1344517:19-216
    11Werder Bremen1344518:24-616
    12Union Berlin1343616:22-615
    13Hamburger SV1343614:20-615
    14Augsburg1341817:27-1013
    15Wolfsburg1333717:23-612
    16Heidenheim1332812:28-1611
    17St. Pauli1322911:25-148
    18Mainz1313911:24-136

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga