Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel
Result
0:1
20/04/2024 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
cyprusCyprusNova Sports
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1
greeceGreeceNova Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.051.42
Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
2112
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
179
Free Kicks
1115
Corner Kicks
134
Offsides
23
Throw-ins
2618
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Fouls
128
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
451280
Completed Passes
379196
Attacks
10860
Dangerous Attacks
8127
Distance Covered (km)
116115

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Porath F. , Rothe T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', 0 - 1, Rothe T. , Holtby L. (A),
  • 68', Meffert J. 🟨,
  • 70', Oztunali L. , Okugawa M. ,
  • 70', Konigsdorffer R. , Dompe J. ,
  • 72', Holtby L. 🟨,
  • 72', Skrzybski S. , Remberg N. ,
  • 73', Holtby L. 🟨,
  • 76', Van der Brempt I. , Jatta B. ,
  • 76', Pherai I. , Nemeth A. ,
  • 80', Machino S. , Komenda M. ,
  • 80', Bernhardsson A. , Pichler B. ,
  • 83', Meffert J. , Suhonen A. ,

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
45.3%
Draw
24.5%
Holstein Kiel
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 23.3% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 23.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.01)
    3.9
    (4.07)
    3.14
    (3.22)
    5.2%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 31.2%83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 1.
    • Recent matches Hamburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Holstein Kiel in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Hamburg will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Hamburg won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-26.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hamburg won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-8.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    11.11.2023 Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV 4:2
    18.03.2023 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 0:0
    09.09.2022 Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV 2:3
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arminia Bielefeld22007:166
    2Darmstadt22005:146
    3Hannover22003:036
    4Braunschweig22004:226
    5Elversberg32013:306
    6Karlsruher SC21103:214
    7Paderborn21103:214
    8Preussen Munster31115:504
    9Greuther Furth21015:503
    10Magdeburg21012:203
    11Schalke21012:203
    12Bochum21013:4-13
    13Kaiserslautern31022:3-13
    14Hertha Berlin20111:2-11
    15SG Dynamo Dresden20023:5-20
    16Holstein Kiel20021:4-30
    17Nurnberg30031:4-30
    18Dusseldorf20021:7-60

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga