Hamburger SV vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal
Result
1:2 penalties
03/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Welz T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
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europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceERT Sports 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.86
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2019
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
84% (485/579)77% (346/449)
Yellow Cards
36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.281.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.350.80
Total shots
2019
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
910
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
139
Shots outside the Box
710
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
3417
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
84% (485/579)77% (346/449)
Long passes
37% (26/70)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
73% (134/183)55% (30/55)
Crosses
13% (3/23)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.901.11
Throw-ins
3532
Fouls
1415
Tackles
68% (13/19)46% (13/28)
Duels won
5655
Clearances
1722
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.801.35
Goals prevented
-0.200.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Davidsen K. 🟨,
  • 12', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 12', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 60', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
  • 64', Remberg N. ↓, Meffert J. ↑,
  • 64', Rossing-Lelesiit A. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
  • 69', Ivezic M. 🟨,
  • 78', Komenda M. ↓, Nekic I. ↑,
  • 78', Therkelsen J. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
  • 82', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
  • 85', Torunarigha J. 🟨,
  • 87', Nekic I. 🟨,
  • 90', Tolkin J. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 94', Kapralik A. ↓, Koster L. ↑,
  • 98', Torunarigha J. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
  • 99', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
  • 100', Meffert J. 🟨,
  • 103', Rosenboom L. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
  • 107', 1 - 0, Jatta B. ⚽, Muheim M. (A),
  • 118', 1 - 1, Harres P. ⚽,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Zec D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Philippe R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Ivezic M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Vieira F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Schwab S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Muheim M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Nekic I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Soumahoro A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Harres P. (Penalty Awarded),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hamburger SV
54.7%		Draw
23.8%		Holstein Kiel
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 22.9% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 24% 21.3%

Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.74 ↑
(1.73)		 4.01 ↓
(4.15)		 4.44 ↑
(4.25)		 5%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hamburg will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 53.8% – 96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Hamburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hamburg is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Elfadli D. (Groin Injury) Glatzel R. (Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Poulsen Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Inactive) Kelati A. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Heel Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 0:1
    11.11.2023 Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV 4:2
    18.03.2023 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 0:0
    09.09.2022 Holstein Kiel - Hamburger SV 2:3
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    30.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Augsburg - Hamburger SV 1:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Köln - Hamburger SV 4:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Heidenheim - Hamburger SV 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    29.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel 4:1 ✺
    13.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Silkeborg IF 3:2
    09.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺
    31.10.2025 Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    2Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    3RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    4WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    5CottbusHannover1 : 0
    6SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    7IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    8SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    9Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    10UlmElversberg0 : 1
    11LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    12RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    13SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    14LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    15LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    16Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    26RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    27Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    28GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    29DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    30MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    31NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    32Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    2FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    3CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    4IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    5Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    6Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    7DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    8DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    14PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    15B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    16St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    2RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    3Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    4FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    8B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayern MunichRB Leipzig
    2Hertha BerlinFreiburg
    3Holstein KielStuttgart
    4Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli
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