Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 30
- Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI+ |
 Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 6 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (437/540) | 73% (246/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (437/540) | 73% (246/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/48) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (106/154) | 47% (38/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.76 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
- 41', Klostermann L. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Machino S. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Vermeeren A. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
- 46', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
- 66', Zec D. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
- 66', Skrzybski S. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
- 67', Gulacsi P. ↓, Vandevoordt M. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Sesko B. (Pen),
- 79', Machino S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 79', Rosenboom L. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
- 87', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
- 90+3', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Baku R. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
- 90+8', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RB Leipzig
66.3% | Draw
18.9% | Holstein Kiel
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.34) |
5.11 ↓
(5.81) |
6.5 ↓
(8.18) |
4.4%
(3.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 42 - 89.4%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 80.6% – 98.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Holstein Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- RB Leipzig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match RB Leipzig is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nusa A.
(Knee Injury)
Ouedraogo A.
(Knee Injury)
Raum D.
(Muscle Injury)
Schlager X.
(Thigh Injury)
Simons X.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Holtby L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelati A. Y.
(Knee Injury)
Kleine-Bekel C.
(Knee Injury)
Nekic I.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Holstein Kiel?
RB Leipzig has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against RB Leipzig?
Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
07.12.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
RB Leipzig
0:2
Latest results of RB Leipzig
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 23 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
