RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel
Result
1:1
19/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 6
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.020.78
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
81% (437/540)73% (246/335)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.020.78
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.71
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2424
Through passes
43% (3/7)0% (0/1)
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
95
Passes
81% (437/540)73% (246/335)
Long passes
40% (19/48)40% (23/57)
Passes in final third
69% (106/154)47% (38/81)
Crosses
14% (3/21)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.76
Fouls
59
Tackles
72% (13/18)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5840
Clearances Total
2528
Interceptions
015
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.711.66
Goals prevented
-0.190.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
  • 41', Klostermann L. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Machino S. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vermeeren A. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
  • 46', Nedeljkovic K. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
  • 66', Zec D. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
  • 66', Skrzybski S. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
  • 67', Gulacsi P. ↓, Vandevoordt M. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Sesko B. (Pen),
  • 79', Machino S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
  • 79', Rosenboom L. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
  • 87', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
  • 90+3', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 90+3', Baku R. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
  • 90+8', Arp J.-F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


RB Leipzig
66.3%		Draw
18.9%		Holstein Kiel
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.7% 16.6% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3% 15.8% 11.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
    •

    RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.44 ↑
    (1.34)    		 5.11 ↓
    (5.81)    		 6.5 ↓
    (8.18)    		 4.4%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. RB Leipzig will win (votes: 42 - 89.4%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 80.6% – 98.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Holstein Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • RB Leipzig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match RB Leipzig is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nusa A. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Raum D. (Muscle Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury) Simons X. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Holtby L. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Holstein Kiel - RB Leipzig 0:2
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3 ✺
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen 0:3 ✺
    20.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:2
    08.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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