Result
1:2
05/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.71 | 0.98 |
Ball Possession |
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53% | 47% |
Total shots |
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8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Passes |
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85% (377/444) | 84% (325/386) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.71 | 0.98 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.29 | 0.75 |
Total shots |
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8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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14 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
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2 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 8 |
Passes |
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85% (377/444) | 84% (325/386) |
Long passes |
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54% (29/54) | 56% (29/52) |
Passes in final third |
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72% (81/113) | 71% (56/79) |
Crosses |
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0% (0/6) | 20% (2/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.63 | 0.29 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 18 |
Fouls |
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8 | 15 |
Tackles |
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47% (8/17) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
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43 | 33 |
Clearances |
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18 | 27 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.75 | 1.29 |
Goals prevented |
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-1.25 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Quinones L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Guzman V. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 46', McGlynn J. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
- 61', Quinones L. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
- 62', Hernandez I. ↓, Alemao ↑,
- 65', Dorsey G. ↓, Bassi A. ↑,
- 65', Lingr O. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 69', Sanchez C. ↓, Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↑,
- 74', Artur ↓, Raines B. ↑,
- 77', Pedraza P. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Bassi A. (Pen),
- 83', Felipe Andrade ↓, Steres D. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Togni G. ⚽, Bautista A. (A),
- 90+1', Montiel E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Alemao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Houston Dynamo 25.4% | Draw 26% | Pachuca 48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Houston Dynamo - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.66 ↑ (2.89) |
3.6 ↑ (3.43) |
1.93 ↓ (2.31) |
6.8% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
Pachuca will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pachuca will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Houston is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pachuca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Pachuca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pachuca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against Pachuca?
Houston Dynamo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Houston Dynamo?
Pachuca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - Pachuca were as follows:
02.08.2023
Houston Dynamo
-
Pachuca
1:0
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
Latest results of Pachuca
CONCACAF League Cup Table
MainLiga MX | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
2 | Pachuca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
3 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
4 | Puebla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
5 | Juarez | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
7 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
8 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
9 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
10 | Club America | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:6 | 5 |
11 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:8 | 4 |
12 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:10 | 4 |
13 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
14 | Monterrey | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
15 | Club Leon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 1 |
16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
17 | Atlas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
18 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
MLS | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 |
2 | Inter Miami | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
4 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
5 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
7 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
8 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
10 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
11 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
12 | Colorado Rapids | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
13 | Charlotte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
14 | Atlanta Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
15 | San Diego FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
16 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
17 | CF Montreal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 2 |
18 | Houston Dynamo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Leagues Cup (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)