Houston Dynamo vs Pachuca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football CONCACAF League Cup Houston Dynamo - Pachuca
Result
1:2
05/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Leagues Cup - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldApple TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.98
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (377/444)84% (325/386)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.75
Total shots
812
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1416
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
158
Passes
85% (377/444)84% (325/386)
Long passes
54% (29/54)56% (29/52)
Passes in final third
72% (81/113)71% (56/79)
Crosses
0% (0/6)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.29
Throw-ins
1918
Fouls
815
Tackles
47% (8/17)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4333
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.751.29
Goals prevented
-1.250.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Quinones L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Guzman V. , Bautista A. ,
  • 46', McGlynn J. , Ennali L. ,
  • 61', Quinones L. , Kenedy ,
  • 62', Hernandez I. , Alemao ,
  • 65', Dorsey G. , Bassi A. ,
  • 65', Lingr O. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 69', Sanchez C. , Garcia Caprizo B. A. ,
  • 74', Artur , Raines B. ,
  • 77', Pedraza P. , Togni G. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Bassi A. (Pen),
  • 83', Felipe Andrade , Steres D. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Togni G. , Bautista A. (A),
  • 90+1', Montiel E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Alemao 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
25.4%
Draw
26%
Pachuca
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 27.2% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 26.1% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Dynamo's form might have worsened.
  • Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Houston Dynamo - Pachuca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (2.89)
    3.6
    (3.43)
    1.93
    (2.31)
    6.8%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Pachuca?
  • Users Predictions: Pachuca will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pachuca will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Houston is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pachuca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Pachuca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pachuca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - Pachuca were as follows:
    02.08.2023 Houston Dynamo - Pachuca 1:0
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of Pachuca
    01.08.2025 Los Angeles - Pachuca 2:1
    29.07.2025 Pachuca - San Diego 3:2
    26.07.2025 Pachuca - Mazatlan 1:0
    20.07.2025 UNAM - Pachuca 2:3
    13.07.2025 Pachuca - Monterrey 3:0
    CONCACAF League Cup Table
    Main

    Liga MX
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Toluca321006:48
    2Pachuca320106:47
    3Tigres UANL320017:46
    4Puebla320016:46
    5Juarez311107:46
    6Guadalajara Chivas311014:45
    7Mazatlan FC311013:35
    8UNAM Pumas311015:65
    9Atl. San Luis311014:65
    10Club America302106:65
    11Necaxa310116:84
    12Cruz Azul302013:104
    13Club Tijuana310025:83
    14Monterrey301023:62
    15Club Leon300121:41
    16Queretaro300031:60
    17Atlas300033:90
    18Santos Laguna300032:80


    MLS
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Seattle Sounders3300011:29
    2Inter Miami321007:48
    3Los Angeles Galaxy3201010:37
    4Orlando City320109:37
    5Portland Timbers320106:17
    6Columbus Crew320106:37
    7Real Salt Lake311105:46
    8Los Angeles FC311104:36
    9New York Red Bulls311103:26
    10Minnesota United310117:64
    11FC Cincinnati310116:64
    12Colorado Rapids310115:54
    13Charlotte310115:64
    14Atlanta Utd310027:73
    15San Diego FC310025:53
    16New York City310023:53
    17CF Montreal301023:52
    18Houston Dynamo300032:80

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