Result
2:1
28/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Marrero M. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Niki ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 2 - 1, Ruiz K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ibarra 43.1% | Draw 28.3% | Marino 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibarra's form might have worsened.Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ibarra - Marino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (1.64) |
3.22 ↓ (3.6) |
3.2 ↓ (4.61) |
9.6% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 2.
- Recent matches Ibarra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Marino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Ibarra is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ibarra won against Marino?
Ibarra has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marino won against Ibarra?
Marino has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ibarra - Marino were as follows:
17.11.2024
Marino
-
Ibarra
1:1
05.04.2024
Ibarra
-
Marino
1:0
19.11.2023
Marino
-
Ibarra
1:1
19.03.2023
Marino
-
Ibarra
1:3
18.11.2022
Ibarra
-
Marino
0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | San Fernando | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 51 |
| 3 | Tenerife C | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Panaderia | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 40:22 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Tamaraceite | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38:25 | 13 | 48 |
| 6 | Mensajero | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Lanzarote | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 39:30 | 9 | 40 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Real Union Tenerife | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 40 |
| 10 | Las Palmas C | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49:38 | 11 | 38 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 34 |
| 12 | Arucas | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 | Yaiza | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 22:49 | -27 | 24 |
| 15 | San Miguel | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 23 |
| 16 | Herbania | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21:56 | -35 | 17 |
| 18 | Telde | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:56 | -35 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation