Ibarra vs Marino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Ibarra - Marino
Result
2:1
28/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Marrero M. ,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Niki ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 2 - 1, Ruiz K. ,

Chances of winning


Ibarra
43.1%
Draw
28.3%
Marino
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 25.2% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 24.1% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibarra's form might have worsened.
  • Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ibarra - Marino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.64)
    3.22
    (3.6)
    3.2
    (4.61)
    9.6%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 2.
    • Recent matches Ibarra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Marino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Ibarra is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ibarra - Marino were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Marino - Ibarra 1:1
    05.04.2024 Ibarra - Marino 1:0
    19.11.2023 Marino - Ibarra 1:1
    19.03.2023 Marino - Ibarra 1:3
    18.11.2022 Ibarra - Marino 0:0
    Latest results of Ibarra
    23.03.2025 Mensajero - Ibarra 2:2
    15.03.2025 Ibarra - Lanzarote 2:0
    08.03.2025 Arucas - Ibarra 1:2
    01.03.2025 Ibarra - UD San Fernando 0:1
    22.02.2025 Unión Viera - Ibarra 1:1
    Latest results of Marino
    15.03.2025 Panadería Pulido - Marino 3:0
    09.03.2025 Marino - Tamaraceite 0:3
    02.03.2025 Las Palmas B - Marino 6:0
    23.02.2025 Marino - Herbania 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2