Result
2:1
28/03/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Marrero M. ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Niki ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 2 - 1, Ruiz K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ibarra
43.1% | Draw
28.3% | Marino
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ibarra's form might have worsened.Marino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marino's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+14.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ibarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marino than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ibarra - Marino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.64) |
3.22 ↓
(3.6) |
3.2 ↓
(4.61) |
9.6%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 7).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 2.
- Recent matches Ibarra is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Marino is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Ibarra is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Ibarra won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ibarra won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ibarra won against Marino?
Ibarra has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marino won against Ibarra?
Marino has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ibarra - Marino were as follows:
17.11.2024
Marino
-
Ibarra
1:1
05.04.2024
Ibarra
-
Marino
1:0
19.11.2023
Marino
-
Ibarra
1:1
19.03.2023
Marino
-
Ibarra
1:3
18.11.2022
Ibarra
-
Marino
0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | San Fernando | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 47:30 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 45:33 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Tenerife C | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 50 |
| 7 | Las Palmas C | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 54:39 | 15 | 45 |
| 8 | Lanzarote | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Union Tenerife | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 34:29 | 5 | 44 |
| 10 | Villa Santa Brigida | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:31 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 30 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 43:33 | 10 | 38 |
| 12 | San Bartolome | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 30 |
| 13 | San Miguel | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30:41 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 | Arucas | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Yaiza | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 16 | Herbania | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | Telde | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26:61 | -35 | 23 |
| 18 | SD Tenisca | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
