Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (463/528) | 77% (255/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (463/528) | 77% (255/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (132/173) | 66% (65/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (11/44) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Cissoko K. ⚽, Myrevik J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Kusu M. ↓, Ogungbaro M. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Adedoyin K. ⚽, Huttunen A. (A),
- 68', Kahkonen S. ↓, Sotelo G. ↑,
- 68', Valencic F. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
- 76', Reid J. 🟨,
- 80', Reid J. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
- 86', Bjorkskog A. ↓, Izountouemoi S. ↑,
- 89', Myrevik J. ↓, Vidjeskog A. ↑,
- 89', Adedoyin K. ↓, Lundberg A. ↑,
- 90+1', Kujasalo N. ↓, Fonsell M. ↑,
Chances of winning
FF Jaro
52.1% | Draw
25.4% | IFK Mariehamn
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FF Jaro's performance.IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and IFK Mariehamn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FF Jaro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that IFK Mariehamn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.33) |
3.71 ↑
(3.57) |
4.25 ↑
(2.82) |
5.5%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn?
Users Predictions:
FF Jaro will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): FF Jaro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 2.
- Jaro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mariehamn's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Jaro has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Jaro is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Cardoso H.
(Inactive)
Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Nurmi N.
(Injury)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
Riikonen M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mariehamn: Muskwe A.
(Inactive)
Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against IFK Mariehamn?
FF Jaro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against FF Jaro?
IFK Mariehamn has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
05.04.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
FF Jaro
0:2
Latest results of FF Jaro
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
