Result
2:3
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (386/466) | 83% (445/538) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.47 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (386/466) | 83% (445/538) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 31% (22/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (92/134) | 71% (55/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 3.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.37 | 1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Adedoyin K. ⚽, Kujasalo N. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Eremenko S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Huttunen A. ↑,
- 46', Lundberg A. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 2, Patut E. ⚽, Huttunen A. (A),
- 60', Kusu M. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
- 60', Sipola S. ↓, Myrevik J. ↑,
- 60', Polley R. ↓, Bjonback A. ↑,
- 65', Nissinen J. ↓, El-Kathemi E. ↑,
- 73', Kahkonen S. ↓, Sotelo G. ↑,
- 78', Vidjeskog N. 🟨,
- 81', Gunnarsson E. 🟥,
- 84', Bjorkskog A. ↓, Valencic F. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Andersson L. ⚽,
- 87', Adedoyin K. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Ogungbaro M. ⚽, Sotelo G. (A),
- 90+4', Patut E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FF Jaro
50.9% | Draw
23.8% | IFK Mariehamn
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.91) |
4.02 ↑
(3.82) |
3.71 ↓
(3.78) |
5.3%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Jaro will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mariehamn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jaro might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has FF Jaro won against IFK Mariehamn?
FF Jaro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against FF Jaro?
IFK Mariehamn has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
06.07.2025
FF Jaro
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:1
05.04.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
FF Jaro
0:2
Latest results of FF Jaro
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 57:35 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 54:39 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | HJK | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 66:37 | 29 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
