IFK Mariehamn vs Haka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga IFK Mariehamn - Haka
Result
1:1
21/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.44
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
77% (285/370)76% (301/396)
Yellow Cards
16
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.360.29
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
3716
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
80
Free Kicks
149
Passes
77% (285/370)76% (301/396)
Long passes
40% (21/52)42% (26/62)
Passes in final third
66% (90/136)66% (71/108)
Crosses
17% (7/42)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.42
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
914
Tackles
56% (9/16)54% (15/28)
Duels won
6165
Clearances
3042
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.291.36
Goals prevented
-0.640.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Lindholm S. ,
  • 42', Houston J. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Gianini Dantas N. , Talo N. ,
  • 45+6', Sejdiu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Heyden J. , Patut E. ,
  • 53', Romero E. 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Adedoyin K. , Reid J. (A),
  • 59', Patut E. 🟨,
  • 59', Lucas Cini 🟨,
  • 60', Bulgakov D. , Selander R. ,
  • 61', Romero E. , Da Sylva J. ,
  • 77', Sallinen O. 🟨,
  • 80', Selander R. 🟨,
  • 81', Adedoyin K. , Lundberg A. ,
  • 81', Huttunen A. , Cardoso H. ,
  • 83', Houston J. , Purosalo V. ,
  • 83', Lucas Cini , Parfitt-Williams D. ,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
26.1%
Draw
25.8%
Haka
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 26% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 25.6% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Mariehamn's form might have worsened.
  • Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haka's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • IFK Mariehamn - Haka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.78
    (2.81)
    3.77
    (3.63)
    2.01
    (2.32)
    2.9%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Haka?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Haka will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 52%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.4%71.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 2 - 25%). Haka (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 2.
    • Mariehamn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Haka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Haka could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Cardoso H. (Inactive) Kivikko M. (Inactive) Raitanen P. (Knee Injury) Riikonen M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Haka: Almen M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Haka were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Haka - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    26.02.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 0:0
    07.07.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 0:3
    07.06.2024 Haka - IFK Mariehamn 2:0
    22.09.2023 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 2:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    06.07.2025 FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    14.06.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 1:5
    11.06.2025 Klubi 04 - IFK Mariehamn 4:3
    Latest results of Haka
    13.07.2025 Gnistan - Haka 2:0
    06.07.2025 Haka - Inter Turku 0:1
    02.07.2025 VPS Vaasa - Haka 1:2
    24.06.2025 Haka - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    18.06.2025 HJK - Haka 3:1
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 21127244:192543
    2KuPS ✔ 21134438:221643
    3Ilves ✔ 21133545:261942
    4HJK ✔ 21132655:282741
    5SJK ✔ 21124544:301440
    6Gnistan2177733:37-428
    7VPS2167831:32-125
    8Jaro21641123:35-1222
    9Mariehamn21561024:46-2221
    10Haka ✔ 21441325:40-1516
    11AC Oulu ✔ 21431427:46-1915
    12KTP ✔ 21351323:51-2814

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Haka is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
    AC Oulu is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
    KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )