Result
1:1
21/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (285/370) | 76% (301/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (285/370) | 76% (301/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 42% (26/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (90/136) | 66% (71/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (7/42) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 54% (15/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Lindholm S. ⚽,
- 42', Houston J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Gianini Dantas N. ↓, Talo N. ↑,
- 45+6', Sejdiu A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Heyden J. ↓, Patut E. ↑,
- 53', Romero E. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Adedoyin K. ⚽, Reid J. (A),
- 59', Patut E. 🟨,
- 59', Lucas Cini 🟨,
- 60', Bulgakov D. ↓, Selander R. ↑,
- 61', Romero E. ↓, Da Sylva J. ↑,
- 77', Sallinen O. 🟨,
- 80', Selander R. 🟨,
- 81', Adedoyin K. ↓, Lundberg A. ↑,
- 81', Huttunen A. ↓, Cardoso H. ↑,
- 83', Houston J. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
- 83', Lucas Cini ↓, Parfitt-Williams D. ↑,
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn
26.1% | Draw
25.8% | Haka
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Mariehamn's form might have worsened.Haka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haka than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
IFK Mariehamn - Haka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↑
(2.81) |
3.77 ↑
(3.63) |
2.01 ↓
(2.32) |
2.9%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Haka?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Haka will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 52%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.4% – 71.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 2 - 25%). Haka (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 2.
- Mariehamn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Haka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Haka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Cardoso H.
(Inactive)
Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
Riikonen M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Haka: Almen M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against Haka?
IFK Mariehamn has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Haka won against IFK Mariehamn?
Haka has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Haka were as follows:
12.04.2025
Haka
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:1
26.02.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
Haka
0:0
07.07.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
Haka
0:3
07.06.2024
Haka
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:0
22.09.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
Haka
2:1
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 36:13 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ilves ✔ | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | KuPS | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | HJK | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 39:20 | 19 | 32 |
| 5 | SJK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 31 |
| 6 | VPS | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23:31 | -8 | 20 |
| 8 | Jaro | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21:33 | -12 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21:43 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
