Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (394/481) | 89% (553/624) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (394/481) | 89% (553/624) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (15/41) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (158/213) | 82% (76/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 50% (1/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Heyden J. ⚽, Huttunen A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Riikonen M. 🟨,
- 47', Rangel 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Rangel ⚽,
- 60', El-Kathemi E. ↓, Nissinen J. ↑,
- 60', Nunez W. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
- 60', Huttunen A. ↓, Dahlstrom S. ↑,
- 73', Rangel ↓, Tarvonen A. ↑,
- 73', Forsell P. ↓, Aspegren F. ↑,
- 77', Patut E. ↓, Holmberg R. ↑,
- 79', Adedoyin K. 🟨,
- 81', Kauko J. 🟨,
- 84', Toivonen A. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
- 84', Tarvonen A. ↓, Weckstrom L. ↑,
- 88', Kauko J. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 89', Kujasalo N. ↓, Nurmi N. ↑,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka
60.3% | Draw
21.1% | IFK Mariehamn
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KTP Kotka's performance.IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.76) |
4.44 ↑
(4.04) |
5.2 ↑
(4.15) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mariehamn: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 1.
- KTP is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mariehamn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mariehamn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, KTP is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in KTP: Tahmbi N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, KTP won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against IFK Mariehamn?
KTP Kotka has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against KTP Kotka?
IFK Mariehamn has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
16.08.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
KTP Kotka
3:0
31.05.2025
KTP Kotka
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:2
22.02.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
KTP Kotka
1:2
21.10.2023
KTP Kotka
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:2
01.07.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
KTP Kotka
0:0
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 53 |
| 2 | Ilves | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 57:35 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 49:25 | 24 | 50 |
| 4 | SJK | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 54:39 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | HJK | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 66:37 | 29 | 47 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:50 | -11 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
