Result
3:0
16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (221/302) | 85% (428/505) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.20 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (221/302) | 85% (428/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (76/112) | 78% (156/199) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (20/24) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 3.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Aspegren F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 0, Adedoyin K. ⚽, Patut E. (A),
- 63', 2 - 0, Nissinen J. ⚽,
- 66', Lehtiranta J. ↓, Lahdensuo T. ↑,
- 66', Seck A. ↓, Weckstrom L. ↑,
- 72', Reid J. ↓, Huttunen A. ↑,
- 73', Toivio J. 🟨,
- 81', Forsell P. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 83', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Nurmi N. ↑,
- 88', Makela J. ↓, Edlund C. ↑,
- 88', Toivonen A. ↓, Elle Essouma F. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 0, Olawale M. ⚽, Adedoyin K. (A),
- 89', Olawale M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Kujasalo N. ↓, Holmberg R. ↑,
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn
36.7% | Draw
26.3% | KTP Kotka
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.67) |
3.56 ↑
(3.5) |
2.54
(2.54) |
6.2%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). KTP will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in KTP: Tanaka A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mariehamn: Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in KTP: Paavola M.
(Injury)
Tarvonen A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against KTP Kotka?
IFK Mariehamn has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against IFK Mariehamn?
KTP Kotka has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka were as follows:
31.05.2025
KTP Kotka
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:2
22.02.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
KTP Kotka
1:2
21.10.2023
KTP Kotka
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:2
01.07.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
KTP Kotka
0:0
22.04.2023
KTP Kotka
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 46 |
| 2 | Ilves | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 3 | HJK | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 59:29 | 30 | 44 |
| 4 | KuPS | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 45:31 | 14 | 41 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:39 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | VPS | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Jaro | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:48 | -23 | 21 |
| 10 | AC Oulu | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 18 |
| 11 | Haka | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 16 |
| 12 | KTP | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24:55 | -31 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
