IFK Mariehamn vs KTP Kotka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka
16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
35.7%
Draw
26.6%
KTP Kotka
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 27.1% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.67)
    3.59
    (3.5)
    2.53
    (2.54)
    5.1%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
    • KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka were as follows:
    31.05.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 2:2
    22.02.2025 IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka 1:2
    21.10.2023 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 0:2
    01.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn - KTP Kotka 0:0
    22.04.2023 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    09.08.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Gnistan 2:5
    01.08.2025 VPS Vaasa - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    26.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 0:1
    21.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 1:1
    06.07.2025 FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    Latest results of KTP Kotka
    09.08.2025 KTP Kotka - KuPS Kuopio 0:2
    03.08.2025 SJK - KTP Kotka 3:0
    26.07.2025 Haka - KTP Kotka 2:3
    18.07.2025 KTP Kotka - Inter Turku 2:2
    13.07.2025 Oulu - KTP Kotka 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku ✔ 19127043:162743
    2KuPS ✔ 19114433:201337
    3Ilves ✔ 19113540:261436
    4HJK ✔ 19112645:252035
    5SJK ✔ 19104537:28934
    6Gnistan1966730:35-524
    7Jaro1964922:28-622
    8VPS1956828:30-221
    9Mariehamn1946919:38-1918
    10Haka19441122:35-1316
    11AC Oulu19431225:39-1415
    12KTP ✔ 19351121:45-2414

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )