Result
2:2
31/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (325/404) | 80% (306/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (325/404) | 80% (306/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (31/69) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (119/160) | 71% (77/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Dahlstrom S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Toivonen E. ↓, Nissinen J. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 1, Seck A. ⚽, Elle Essouma F. (A),
- 65', Patut E. 🟨,
- 66', Lehtiranta J. ↓, Paavola M. ↑,
- 66', Elle Essouma F. ↓, Glasson M. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Glasson M. ⚽, Tanaka A. (A),
- 72', Sumusalo M. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
- 79', Huttunen A. ↓, Adedoyin K. ↑,
- 79', Cardoso H. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 84', Weckstrom L. ↓, Edlund C. ↑,
- 85', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
- 85', Patut E. ↓, Heyden J. ↑,
- 86', Larsen M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Reid J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
KTP Kotka
44% | Draw
27.1% | IFK Mariehamn
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(2.06) |
3.5 ↓
(3.81) |
3.27 ↓
(3.31) |
5.7%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mariehamn: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KTP won 2.
- KTP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mariehamn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- KTP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, KTP has had a series of away games.
- KTP could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in KTP: Makela J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Riikonen M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, KTP won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, KTP won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has KTP Kotka won against IFK Mariehamn?
KTP Kotka has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against KTP Kotka?
IFK Mariehamn has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
22.02.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
KTP Kotka
1:2
21.10.2023
KTP Kotka
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:2
01.07.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
KTP Kotka
0:0
22.04.2023
KTP Kotka
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
12.02.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
KTP Kotka
1:1
Latest results of KTP Kotka
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
