Result
28/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/471) | 84% (341/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/471) | 84% (341/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 43% (20/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (73/113) | 61% (68/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | -2.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Streng J. ⚽, Yussif S. (A),
- 17', 2 - 0, Paananen K. ⚽, Karjalainen R. (A),
- 18', 3 - 0, Fonsell M. (Own goal),
- 40', Cardoso H. ↓, Lundberg A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Reid J. ↓, Adedoyin K. ↑,
- 46', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Heyden J. ↑,
- 46', Vaisto O. ↓, Obileye A. ↑,
- 61', Karjalainen R. ↓, Laine L. ↑,
- 61', Paananen K. ↓, Machaal A. ↑,
- 64', 4 - 0, Mastokangas E. ⚽, Gasc V. R. (A),
- 72', Fati B. ↓, Oksanen G. ↑,
- 72', Kujasalo N. ↓, Jansson M. ↑,
- 72', Patut E. 🟨,
- 76', Mastokangas E. ↓, Tessilimi O. ↑,
- 78', Huttunen A. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
- 81', Heyden J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Adedoyin K. ⚽, Patut E. (A),
Chances of winning
SJK
66.1% | Draw
18.8% | IFK Mariehamn
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SJK than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SJK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
SJK - IFK Mariehamn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.34) |
4.97 ↓
(5.56) |
6.3 ↓
(7.65) |
6%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for SJK - IFK Mariehamn?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Mariehamn will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SJK: 76.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 4.
- SJK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mariehamn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- SJK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, SJK is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in SJK: Pires K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
Riikonen M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in SJK: Vargas A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mariehamn: Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SJK won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has SJK won against IFK Mariehamn?
SJK has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against SJK?
IFK Mariehamn has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SJK - IFK Mariehamn were as follows:
19.04.2025
IFK Mariehamn
-
SJK
1:2
21.07.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
SJK
0:4
31.05.2024
SJK
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:2
26.08.2023
SJK
-
IFK Mariehamn
3:2
11.06.2023
IFK Mariehamn
-
SJK
0:2
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 40:14 | 26 | 40 |
| 2 | Ilves ✔ | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 39:21 | 18 | 36 |
| 3 | KuPS | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | HJK | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | SJK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 31 |
| 6 | VPS | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25:33 | -8 | 21 |
| 8 | Jaro | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21:33 | -12 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21:43 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
