IFK Mariehamn vs TPS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.780.89
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
24
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
010
Passes
79% (335/426)81% (361/443)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.780.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.21
Total shots
817
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
27
Blocked shots
46
Shots inside the box
610
Shots outside the box
27
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
010
Touches in opposition box
1137
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free kicks
1213
Passes
79% (335/426)81% (361/443)
Long passes
27% (14/51)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
62% (60/97)77% (147/191)
Crosses
27% (3/11)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.420.71
Throw ins
2223
Fouls
1312
Tackles
53% (8/15)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4254
Clearances
3519
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
0.210.22
Goals prevented
-0.79-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', Sihvonen A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Larsson A. ,
  • 42', Ikonen L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Nissinen J. 🟨,
  • 63', Muzaci A. , Vauhkonen E. ,
  • 63', Ikonen L. , Juvanteny P. ,
  • 68', Huttunen A. , Patut E. ,
  • 68', Ngulube S. , Stroud A. ,
  • 69', Sihvonen A. , Turkki E. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Juvanteny P. , Ivanovic L. (A),
  • 78', Pearce L. , Andersson L. ,
  • 78', Dahlstrom S. , Hyvonen M. ,
  • 81', Lindgren P. 🟨,
  • 81', Ivanovic L. , Kauppila M. ,
  • 81', Talo N. , Haggstrom O. ,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
55.6%
Draw
26%
TPS
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 25.1% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • IFK Mariehamn - TPS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.75)
    3.71
    (3.7)
    5.33
    (4.25)
    4.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - TPS?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 3 - 50%). TPS will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3.
    • TPS's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mariehamn is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - TPS were as follows:
    11.02.2026 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 1:1
    28.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 3:2
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    21.03.2026 Sandviken - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    05.03.2026 IFK Mariehamn - Lahti 4:0
    11.02.2026 IFK Mariehamn - TPS 1:1
    30.01.2026 Gnistan - IFK Mariehamn 2:2
    Latest results of TPS
    27.03.2026 TPS - PK-35 Vantaa 1:0
    21.03.2026 Ekenäs - TPS 2:0
    14.03.2026 TPS - VPS Vaasa 1:0
    21.02.2026 HJK - TPS 3:1
    14.02.2026 TPS - Gnistan 0:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TPS21103:214
    2AC Oulu11005:143
    3HJK11003:033
    4KuPS11003:123
    5SJK21013:303
    6Lahti21012:203
    7VPS20200:002
    8Inter Turku10100:001
    9Jaro20110:1-11
    10Mariehamn20111:4-31
    11Ilves10011:3-20
    12Gnistan10011:5-40

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