Result
28/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
---|
Finland | Ruutu+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.41 | 2.32 |
Ball Possession |
---|
29% | 71% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
75% (185/246) | 90% (577/641) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.41 | 2.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.32 | 3.19 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 44 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
75% (185/246) | 90% (577/641) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (17/37) | 71% (24/34) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (25/43) | 81% (195/241) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 20% (5/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.62 | 1.75 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (10/19) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
27 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 1 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.19 | 1.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.62 | 1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Gianini Dantas N. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Riski Ro. (Pen),
- 39', Gianini Dantas N. 🟥,
- 42', Lucas Cini ↓, Friberg N. ↑,
- 42', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Ulundu V. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Stjopin M. ⚽, Soderback M. (A),
- 57', Parfitt-Williams D. ↓, Sejdiu A. ↑,
- 57', Multanen K. ↓, Akintunde J. ↑,
- 75', Wallius K. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 75', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 76', Lindholm S. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
- 76', Houston J. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
- 83', Kanga J. 🟨,
- 84', Mommo E. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 3, Friberg N. (Own goal),
- 89', Soderback M. ↓, Moisio J. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 4, Hytonen T. ⚽, Moisio J. (A),
Chances of winning
Haka 21.4% | Draw 22.5% | Ilves 56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Haka - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.36 ↑ (3.65) |
4.14 ↑ (3.82) |
1.69 ↓ (1.94) |
6.3% (5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Haka - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ilves will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Haka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Haka won against Ilves?
Haka has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Haka?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haka - Ilves were as follows:
09.05.2025
Ilves
-
Haka
3:2
14.09.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
3:2
15.07.2024
Haka
-
Ilves
4:3
17.05.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
5:0
16.02.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
2:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )