Haka vs Ilves – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga Haka - Ilves
28/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.412.32
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
310
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
75% (185/246)90% (577/641)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.412.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.323.19
Total shots
818
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1144
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
75% (185/246)90% (577/641)
Long passes
46% (17/37)71% (24/34)
Passes in final third
58% (25/43)81% (195/241)
Crosses
18% (3/17)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.621.75
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
1110
Tackles
53% (10/19)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4741
Clearances
2717
Interceptions
71
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
3.191.32
Goals prevented
-0.621.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Gianini Dantas N. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Riski Ro. (Pen),
  • 39', Gianini Dantas N. 🟥,
  • 42', Lucas Cini , Friberg N. ,
  • 42', Ala-Myllymaki L. , Stjopin M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Ulundu V. , Jukkola O. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Stjopin M. , Soderback M. (A),
  • 57', Parfitt-Williams D. , Sejdiu A. ,
  • 57', Multanen K. , Akintunde J. ,
  • 75', Wallius K. , Kanga J. ,
  • 75', Riski Ro. , Hytonen T. ,
  • 76', Lindholm S. , Purosalo V. ,
  • 76', Houston J. , Sallinen O. ,
  • 83', Kanga J. 🟨,
  • 84', Mommo E. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 3, Friberg N. (Own goal),
  • 89', Soderback M. , Moisio J. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 4, Hytonen T. , Moisio J. (A),

Chances of winning


Haka
21.4%
Draw
22.5%
Ilves
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 24.9% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 25.3% 49.9%

Haka - Ilves Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.36
(3.65)
4.14
(3.82)
1.69
(1.94)
6.3%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Haka - Ilves?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ilves will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Haka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Haka - Ilves were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Ilves - Haka 3:2
    14.09.2024 Ilves - Haka 3:2
    15.07.2024 Haka - Ilves 4:3
    17.05.2024 Ilves - Haka 5:0
    16.02.2024 Ilves - Haka 2:2
    Latest results of Haka
    24.06.2025 Haka - KuPS Kuopio 1:2
    18.06.2025 HJK - Haka 3:1
    14.06.2025 Inter Turku - Haka 1:1
    11.06.2025 Haka - Gnistan 3:2
    31.05.2025 Haka - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    Latest results of Ilves
    18.06.2025 Ilves - SJK 2:3
    14.06.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Ilves 0:3
    01.06.2025 Gnistan - Ilves 0:2
    28.05.2025 Gnistan - Ilves 3:0
    24.05.2025 Ilves - Oulu 0:0
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS32207562:342867
    2Inter Turku321710560:332761
    3Ilves32186868:452360
    4SJK32178770:511959
    5HJK321471174:522249
    6Gnistan32891547:65-1833

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