Result
28/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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|---|
Finland | Ruutu+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.41 | 2.32 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
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| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (185/246) | 90% (577/641) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.41 | 2.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.32 | 3.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 11 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (185/246) | 90% (577/641) |
| Long passes |
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| 46% (17/37) | 71% (24/34) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 58% (25/43) | 81% (195/241) |
| Crosses |
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| 18% (3/17) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.62 | 1.75 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 11 | 15 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 53% (10/19) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 47 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 27 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.19 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.62 | 1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Gianini Dantas N. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Riski Ro. (Pen),
- 39', Gianini Dantas N. 🟥,
- 42', Lucas Cini ↓, Friberg N. ↑,
- 42', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Ulundu V. ↓, Jukkola O. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Stjopin M. ⚽, Soderback M. (A),
- 57', Parfitt-Williams D. ↓, Sejdiu A. ↑,
- 57', Multanen K. ↓, Akintunde J. ↑,
- 75', Wallius K. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 75', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 76', Lindholm S. ↓, Purosalo V. ↑,
- 76', Houston J. ↓, Sallinen O. ↑,
- 83', Kanga J. 🟨,
- 84', Mommo E. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 3, Friberg N. (Own goal),
- 89', Soderback M. ↓, Moisio J. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 4, Hytonen T. ⚽, Moisio J. (A),
Chances of winning
Haka 21.4% | Draw 22.5% | Ilves 56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Haka - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.36 ↑ (3.65) |
4.14 ↑ (3.82) |
1.69 ↓ (1.94) |
6.3% (5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Haka - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ilves will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Haka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Haka won against Ilves?
Haka has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Haka?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Haka - Ilves were as follows:
09.05.2025
Ilves
-
Haka
3:2
14.09.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
3:2
15.07.2024
Haka
-
Ilves
4:3
17.05.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
5:0
16.02.2024
Ilves
-
Haka
2:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 62:34 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 60:33 | 27 | 61 |
| 3 | Ilves | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:45 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | SJK | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 70:51 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 | HJK | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 74:52 | 22 | 49 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 47:65 | -18 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )