Result
2:3 OT
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 1.92 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.67% (2/30) | 14.29% (3/21) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (18/21) | 93.33% (28/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (2/6) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 66.67% (4/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 64.81 | 35.19 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 00:23, 0 - 1, Borg E. (G),
- 00:23, Antonen J. (2 min),
- 10:29, Engberg T. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 03:17, 0 - 2, Utunen T. (G), Looke J. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
- 04:22, Johansson S. (2 min),
- 09:28, Boscq J. (2 min),
- 15:28, Nattinen J. (2 min),
- 16:31, 1 - 2, Wright C. (G), Korhonen O. (A), Vesalainen K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:33, Laitinen J. (2 min),
- 11:49, Latvala O. (2 min),
- 13:13, 2 - 2, Kiiskinen J. (G), Vesalainen K. (A), Eronen E. (A2)
- 14:01, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 14:01, Torok M. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 00:07, 2 - 3, Johansson S. (G), Looke J. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
Chances of winning
HPK
40.1% | Draw
24.4% | Ilves
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HPK - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.44) |
3.83 ↑
(3.57) |
2.67 ↑
(2.53) |
6.8%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 54:56. (average 2.7:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Ilves?
HPK has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HPK?
Ilves has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - Ilves were as follows:
27.02.2025
Ilves
-
HPK
0:4
14.02.2025
HPK
-
Ilves
2:3
22.10.2024
Ilves
-
HPK
1:4
20.09.2024
HPK
-
Ilves
0:4
30.01.2024
HPK
-
Ilves
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 22 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 71:46 | 46 |
| 2 | JYP | 20 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 82:56 | 44 |
| 3 | Tappara | 22 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 75:50 | 41 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 22 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 75:64 | 38 |
| 5 | Lukko | 21 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 63:54 | 37 |
| 6 | Jukurit | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 57:61 | 35 |
| 7 | SaiPa | 23 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 70:66 | 34 |
| 8 | Kiekko-Espoo | 22 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 62:64 | 33 |
| 9 | TPS Turku | 22 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 51:55 | 32 |
| 10 | KalPa | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 62:64 | 31 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 22 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 58:63 | 31 |
| 12 | Ilves | 22 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 63:73 | 29 |
| 13 | Karpat | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 78:79 | 27 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 20 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 35:56 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 20 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 47:65 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 41:74 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
