Result
0:4
27/02/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.51 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/23) | 16% (4/25) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.5% (21/24) | 100% (23/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 40% (2/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.17 | 52.83 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 16:01, Parikka J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:33, 0 - 1, Vesterinen R. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Kiiskinen J. (A2)
- 05:42, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
- 06:26, Ratinen S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 02:53, Nattinen J. (2 min),
- 04:20, 0 - 2, Topping K. (G), Jokirinne V. (A),
- 09:46, Bau S. (2 min),
- 10:49, 0 - 3, Kiiskinen J. (G), Ravinskis A. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
- 12:39, Ravinskis A. (2 min),
- 14:53, (2 min),
- 18:02, 0 - 4, Paivarinta S. (G),
- 18:53, Huttunen H. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Ilves
56.8% | Draw
21.7% | HPK
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Ilves - HPK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.7) |
4.37 ↑
(4.26) |
4.39 ↑
(3.93) |
5.5%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for Ilves - HPK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Ilves could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Ilves is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ilves won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 56:50 (average 2.8:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ilves won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31:27 (average 3.4:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against HPK?
Ilves has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against Ilves?
HPK has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - HPK were as follows:
14.02.2025
HPK
-
Ilves
2:3
22.10.2024
Ilves
-
HPK
1:4
20.09.2024
HPK
-
Ilves
0:4
30.01.2024
HPK
-
Ilves
2:3
03.01.2024
Ilves
-
HPK
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
