Ilves vs Inter Turku – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga Ilves - Inter Turku
Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.29
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
517
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
81% (330/406)86% (464/539)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.370.73
Total shots
517
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
110
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1743
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
910
Passes
81% (330/406)86% (464/539)
Long passes
42% (22/53)46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
60% (67/111)74% (120/162)
Crosses
0% (0/10)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.272.33
Throw-ins
1219
Fouls
119
Tackles
53% (9/17)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
2814
Interceptions
158
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.730.37
Goals prevented
0.73-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Popovitch A. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Riski Ro. ,
  • 45+4', Jukkola O. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Botue J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Kouame A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Soderback M. , Stjopin M. ,
  • 60', Riski Ro. , Hytonen T. ,
  • 61', Botue J. , Tuominen J. ,
  • 66', Kanga J. , Kilo J. ,
  • 67', Yli-Kokko J. , Kekarainen J. ,
  • 67', Legbo D. , Sarr M. ,
  • 87', Niska J. , Jarvinen I. ,

Chances of winning


Ilves
39.4%
Draw
25.5%
Inter Turku
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 23.1% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 22.8% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.
  • Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Ilves - Inter Turku Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (1.99)
    3.67
    (4)
    2.69
    (3.05)
    6.4%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Ilves - Inter Turku?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Inter Turku will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 8%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
    • Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    • Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
    • Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Inter Turku is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Turku: Ampofo B. (Red Card)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Inter Turku were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Inter Turku - Ilves 3:1
    08.03.2025 Ilves - Inter Turku 0:4
    12.06.2024 Inter Turku - Ilves 0:2
    22.05.2024 Ilves - Inter Turku 3:0
    16.03.2024 Inter Turku - Ilves 2:0
    Latest results of Ilves
    16.08.2025 Oulu - Ilves 0:4
    11.08.2025 HJK - Ilves 5:1
    04.08.2025 Ilves - Gnistan 2:2
    31.07.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Ilves 5:0
    24.07.2025 Ilves - AZ Alkmaar 4:3
    Latest results of Inter Turku
    17.08.2025 KuPS Kuopio - Inter Turku 2:1
    08.08.2025 Inter Turku - Oulu 3:2
    04.08.2025 HJK - Inter Turku 1:4
    27.07.2025 Inter Turku - SJK 4:1
    18.07.2025 KTP Kotka - Inter Turku 2:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Turku22137246:202646
    2Ilves22143547:272045
    3HJK22142659:293044
    4KuPS22135439:231644
    5SJK22125545:311441
    6Gnistan2277834:39-528
    7VPS2267932:34-225
    8Jaro22741125:36-1125
    9Mariehamn22561125:48-2321
    10AC Oulu22531430:48-1818
    11Haka22441427:43-1616
    12KTP22351424:55-3114

          Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
          Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )