Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Round 2
- Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (530/598) | 81% (285/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (530/598) | 81% (285/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (33/59) | 33% (13/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (124/164) | 56% (45/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Riski Ro. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', Riski Ro. 🟨,
- 32', Wallius K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', Tuominen J. ↓, Yli-Kokko J. ↑,
- 58', Botue J. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
- 58', Ulundu V. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
- 60', Yli-Kokko J. 🟨,
- 63', Raap Y. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 64', Riski Ro. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
- 72', Kiiskila E. ↓, Laine J. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽, Essomba L. (A),
- 90', Essomba L. ↓, Huovila V. ↑,
- 90', Vaisanen S. ↓, Miettunen T. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Kangasniemi I. ⚽, Laine J. (A),
- 90+6', Kangasniemi I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Inter Turku
42.9% | Draw
28% | Ilves
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Inter Turku - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.25) |
3.33 ↑
(3.12) |
3.23 ↓
(3.34) |
6.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Inter Turku - Ilves?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Ilves (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Inter Turku will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Turku will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Turku (votes: 3 - 75%). Ilves (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 4.
- Inter Turku is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ilves has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Inter Turku will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
Virtanen O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter Turku won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Turku won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Turku won against Ilves?
Inter Turku has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Inter Turku?
Ilves has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Turku - Ilves were as follows:
14.03.2026
Inter Turku
-
Ilves
3:2
09.11.2025
Inter Turku
-
Ilves
2:0
19.10.2025
Ilves
-
Inter Turku
1:2
23.08.2025
Ilves
-
Inter Turku
1:0
17.05.2025
Inter Turku
-
Ilves
3:1
Latest results of Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AC Oulu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | KuPS | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | TPS | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Inter Turku | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | HJK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | SJK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lahti | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | VPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Jaro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Mariehamn | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Ilves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Gnistan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
