Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (330/406) | 86% (464/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (330/406) | 86% (464/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (67/111) | 74% (120/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.73 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Popovitch A. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Riski Ro. ⚽,
- 45+4', Jukkola O. 🟨,
- 45+4', Botue J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Kouame A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Soderback M. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 60', Riski Ro. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 61', Botue J. ↓, Tuominen J. ↑,
- 66', Kanga J. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
- 67', Yli-Kokko J. ↓, Kekarainen J. ↑,
- 67', Legbo D. ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
- 87', Niska J. ↓, Jarvinen I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ilves
39.4% | Draw
25.5% | Inter Turku
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Ilves - Inter Turku Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(1.99) |
3.67 ↓
(4) |
2.69 ↓
(3.05) |
6.4%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ilves - Inter Turku?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Inter Turku will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ilves: 8% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
- Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- Recent performances by Ilves have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Inter Turku is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Inter Turku: Ampofo B.
(Red Card)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Inter Turku?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Turku won against Ilves?
Inter Turku has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Inter Turku were as follows:
17.05.2025
Inter Turku
-
Ilves
3:1
08.03.2025
Ilves
-
Inter Turku
0:4
12.06.2024
Inter Turku
-
Ilves
0:2
22.05.2024
Ilves
-
Inter Turku
3:0
16.03.2024
Inter Turku
-
Ilves
2:0
Latest results of Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 54:31 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 50 |
| 3 | KuPS | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 48:29 | 19 | 50 |
| 4 | HJK | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 46 |
| 5 | SJK | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50:37 | 13 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
