Result
1:3
06/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.28 | 2.82 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 3.13% (1/32) | 9.68% (3/31) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.32% (28/31) | 96.88% (31/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.16 | 54.84 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 16:09, Meskanen V. (2 min),
- 19:45, Borg E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 01:11, 0 - 1, Meskanen V. (G), Siikonen M. (A), Rooba R. (A2)
- 05:40, Henman L. (2 min),
- 08:46, Meskanen V. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:33, Nyberg J. (2 min),
- 01:47, 0 - 2, Siikonen M. (G), Meskanen V. (A), Loponen K. (A2)
- 03:14, Jaakola O. (2 min),
- 04:47, 1 - 2, Quenneville P. (G), Ratinen S. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
- 16:02, 1 - 3, Miettinen V. (G), Davidsson M. (A), Ahlroth J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ilves
52.6% | Draw
22.6% | KooKoo
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)KooKoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+4%)
Ilves - KooKoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.87) |
4.09 ↑
(3.91) |
3.71 ↑
(3.44) |
7.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 66:44. (average 3.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KooKoo?
Ilves has won 11 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KooKoo won against Ilves?
KooKoo has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - KooKoo were as follows:
13.12.2025
KooKoo
-
Ilves
1:2
12.12.2025
Ilves
-
KooKoo
3:0
08.03.2025
Ilves
-
KooKoo
1:2
21.12.2024
KooKoo
-
Ilves
5:4
02.11.2024
KooKoo
-
Ilves
3:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
