Result
5:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 3.45 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 17.24% (5/29) | 3.45% (1/29) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.55% (28/29) | 85.71% (24/28) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (3/9) | 0% (0/8) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 66.67% (6/9) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.37 | 52.63 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 02:48, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
- 03:12, Klingberg C. (2 min),
- 19:59, Jasek L. (2 min),
- 19:59, Kucerik R. (2 min),
- 19:59, Paajanen O. (2 min),
- 19:59, Gallo V. (2 min),
- 19:59, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:31, Johansson S. (2 min),
- 06:35, 1 - 0, Siikonen M. (G), Rooba R. (A), Loponen K. (A2)
- 08:00, Riekkinen J. (2 min),
- 14:02, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
- 16:01, Engberg T. (2 min),
- 19:43, Klingberg C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (4 - 1)
- 07:37, 2 - 0, Meskanen V. (G), Siikonen M. (A), Grondahl A. (A2)
- 10:43, Torok M. (2 min),
- 10:43, Loponen K. (2 min),
- 10:53, Jasek L. (5 min),
- 11:13, 3 - 0, Meskanen V. (G), Sulku S. (A), Parssinen J. (A2)
- 13:09, 3 - 1, Borg E. (G),
- 14:15, 4 - 1, Jaakola O. (G), Gallo V. (A), Oden J. (A2)
- 16:30, 5 - 1, Riekkinen J. (G), Grondahl A. (A),
- 19:13, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
Chances of winning
KooKoo
35.5% | Draw
23.5% | Ilves
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KooKoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KooKoo's form might have worsened.Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KooKoo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
KooKoo - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(2.01) |
3.9 ↓
(4.16) |
2.28 ↓
(2.88) |
7.4%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for KooKoo - Ilves?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 3.
- KooKoo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ilves has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, KooKoo has had a series of away games.
- KooKoo might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 44:65. (average 2.2:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, KooKoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 2.3:3.7).
How many head-to-head matches has KooKoo won against Ilves?
KooKoo has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against KooKoo?
Ilves has won 11 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KooKoo - Ilves were as follows:
06.02.2026
Ilves
-
KooKoo
1:3
13.12.2025
KooKoo
-
Ilves
1:2
12.12.2025
Ilves
-
KooKoo
3:0
08.03.2025
Ilves
-
KooKoo
1:2
21.12.2024
KooKoo
-
Ilves
5:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
