Result
1:0
09/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Yaw M. ↓, Inqilably I. ↑,
- 46', Karaklajic N. ↓, Agazada A. ↑,
- 52', Banguera E. 🟨,
- 55', Jankovic A. 🟨,
- 65', Ninkovic N. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
- 75', Kehat R. ↓, Murata M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 0, Ahmadzada R. ⚽,
- 88', Jankovic A. ↓, Rustamli R. ↑,
- 89', Moumini A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Diogo Rollo ↓, Rahimzada E. ↑,
- 90+1', Morgan E. ↓, Aliyev I. ↑,
- 90+1', Viegas R. ↓, Isayev H. ↑,
- 90+9', Aliyev I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+11', Farzullayev K. 🟨,
- 90+12', Ronaldo 🟨,
- 90+14', Juninho 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sumgayit
45.5% | Draw
29.4% | İmişli
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumgayit's form might have worsened.İmişli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumgayit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Sumgayit - İmişli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.81) |
3.1 ↓
(3.4) |
3.63 ↓
(4.16) |
9.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sumgayit - İmişli?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sumgayit will win (votes: 7 - 70%). İmişli will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sumgayit: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sumgayit will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Sumgayit is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- İmişli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sumgayit is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Sumgayit will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sumgayit won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sumgayit won against İmişli?
Sumgayit has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İmişli won against Sumgayit?
İmişli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sumgayit - İmişli were as follows:
13.09.2025
İmişli
-
Sumgayit
1:0
Latest results of Sumgayit
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
