Progresso vs Imolese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group D Progresso - Imolese
Result
0:1
12/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group D - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Rizzi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Progresso
31.8%
Draw
30%
Imolese
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 27.7% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8% 27.5% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progresso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Imolese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Imolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Progresso - Imolese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (3.1)
    3.04
    (3.25)
    2.38
    (2.08)
    9.9%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • Progresso has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Imolese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progresso - Imolese were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Progresso - Imolese 0:0
    28.09.2024 Imolese - Progresso 1:0
    21.01.2024 Imolese - Progresso 3:1
    Latest results of Progresso
    Latest results of Imolese
    08.10.2025 Correggese - Imolese 2:1
    05.10.2025 Imolese - Correggese 0:0
    28.09.2025 Tuttocuoio - Imolese 0:0
    24.09.2025 Imolese - Pro Palazzolo 2:1
    20.09.2025 Piacenza - Imolese 0:0
    Italian Serie D - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lentigione861110:4619
    2Pistoiese844015:51016
    3Crema851211:7416
    4Pro Sesto843110:5515
    5Desenzano842214:7714
    6Piacenza83329:9012
    7Cittadella Vis Modena840410:11-112
    8Rovato Vertovese83238:5311
    9Correggese82518:6211
    10Sangiuliano City82518:9-111
    11Imolese82424:4010
    12Sant'Angelo83147:12-510
    13Tropical Coriano82338:9-19
    14Pro Palazzolo82336:8-29
    15Sasso Marconi82066:11-56
    16Trevigliese820610:17-76
    17SCD Progresso81257:11-45
    18Tuttocuoio80355:16-113

          Promotion
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          Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
          Relegation