Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
118
Yellow Cards
51
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
118

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Schlotthauer M. 🟨,
  • 55', Barbieri M. , Giaccone F. ,
  • 55', Fernandez V. , Veron L. ,
  • 55', Mast T. , Ciancio V. ,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 69', Tus E. , Gomez M. ,
  • 82', Mast T. 🟨,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Rodriguez T. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Chivilcoy
44%
Draw
29.9%
Douglas Haig
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 26.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 25% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.
  • Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Douglas Haig's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Douglas Haig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.63)
    3.13
    (3.43)
    3.57
    (4.99)
    7.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-4. 2nd leg.
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 1.
    • Recent performances by Ind Chivilcoy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Douglas Haig is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ind Chivilcoy could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 4:2
    01.09.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig 2:0
    22.06.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig 0:0
    20.04.2025 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 1:1
    01.09.2024 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 4:3
    Latest results of Douglas Haig
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Douglas Haig44009:4512
    2Independiente Chivilcoy43018:449
    3Defensores Belgrano VR42118:627
    49 de Julio Rafaela42118:717
    5Sportivo Belgrano41304:136
    6El Linqueno42024:5-16
    7Chivilcoy41122:5-34
    8Sportivo Las Parejas40222:4-22
    9Gimnasia E.R40132:6-41
    10Atletico Escobar40134:9-51


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Juventud Antoniana22005:236
    2Defensores de Vilelas32016:426
    3Tucuman Central32013:126
    4Bartolome Mitre41211:105
    5Sol de America31112:204
    6Boca Unidos41126:7-14
    7San Martin Formosa31113:4-14
    8Sarmiento Resistencia30212:4-22
    9Sarmiento de La Banda30122:5-31


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava41305:236
    2Juventud U.U41303:126
    3Deportivo Rincon31204:225
    4Cipolletti41216:515
    5Biblioteca Atenas31113:214
    6San Martin Mendoza31111:3-24
    7Huracan Las Heras40311:3-23
    8Argentino MM40310:2-23
    9Fundacion Amigos30212:5-32


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca33005:059
    2Kimberley41301:016
    3Santamarina41216:425
    4Sol de Mayo41213:215
    5Germinal41213:305
    6Alvarado41212:205
    7Villa Mitre31022:203
    8Circulo Deportivo31022:7-53
    9Guillermo Brown30122:6-41

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