Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
118
Yellow Cards
51
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
67
Corner Kicks
118

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Schlotthauer M. 🟨,
  • 55', Barbieri M. , Giaccone F. ,
  • 55', Fernandez V. , Veron L. ,
  • 55', Mast T. , Ciancio V. ,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 69', Tus E. , Gomez M. ,
  • 82', Mast T. 🟨,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 0, Rodriguez T. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Chivilcoy
44%
Draw
29.9%
Douglas Haig
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 26.4% 18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 25% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Chivilcoy's form might have worsened.
  • Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Douglas Haig's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Douglas Haig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.63)
    3.13
    (3.43)
    3.57
    (4.99)
    7.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-4. 2nd leg.
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 1.
    • Recent performances by Ind Chivilcoy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Douglas Haig is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ind Chivilcoy could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ind Chivilcoy won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Chivilcoy won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 4:2
    01.09.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig 2:0
    22.06.2025 Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig 0:0
    20.04.2025 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 1:1
    01.09.2024 Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy 4:3
    Latest results of Douglas Haig
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0