Atlético Mineiro vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Atlético Mineiro - Independiente del Valle
28/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Atlético Mineiro
56.2%
Draw
26.1%
Independiente del Valle
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 22.3% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 23.3% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Mineiro's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Atlético Mineiro - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.49)
    3.58
    (4.13)
    5.44
    (5.82)
    6%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ind del Valle is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético MG is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Independiente del Valle - Atlético Mineiro 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    10ByeMushuc Runa
    11SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    12ByeHuracan
    13BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    14ByeCienciano
    15BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    16ByeGodoy Cruz

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2U. De ChileIndependiente1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3Central CordobaLanus0 : 2, 1 : 0
    4America De CaliFluminense0 : 2, 1 : 2
    5Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa2 : 2, 1 : 0
    6Once CaldasHuracan3 : 1, 1 : 0
    7BolivarCienciano2 : 0, 2 : 0
    8Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz1 : 0, 2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. De Chile1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2LanusFluminense1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3Ind. del ValleOnce Caldas3 : 0, 0 : 2
    4BolivarAtletico-MG0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1U. De ChileLanus
    2Ind. del ValleAtletico-MG1 : 1

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2