Result
0:3 penalties
24/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (245/302) | 83% (330/396) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (245/302) | 83% (330/396) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (39/65) | 70% (74/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
- 45+2', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Hoyos M. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
- 55', Tamayo K. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 58', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 58', Zuleta M. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 72', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 74', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
- 79', Guagua D. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 80', Cazares 🟨,
- 86', Hoyos M. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 86', Sornoza J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 86', Cortez G. ↓, Loor L. ↑,
- 90', Spinelli C. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Moreno D. (Pen),
- 1, Cazares (Pen),
- 2, Mejia R. (Pen),
- 2, Mendez J. (Pen),
- 3, Gomez P. (Pen),
- 3, Ibarra R. (Pen),
- 4, Barrios M. (Pen),
- 4, Schunke R. (Pen),
- 5, Garcia M. (Pen),
- 5, Spinelli C. (Pen),
- 6, Aguirre J. (Pen),
- 6, Loor L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
32.8% | Draw
29.1% | Independiente del Valle
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.53) |
3.25 ↑
(3.18) |
2.47 ↓
(2.8) |
6.1%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Once Caldas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente del Valle?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Once Caldas?
Independiente del Valle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
17.09.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Once Caldas
0:2
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
