Once Caldas vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Malaysia	Mola
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	Tigo Sports+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-america	DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.54
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
1	4
Passes
81% (245/302)	83% (330/396)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.22	1.56
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
6	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
15	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
8	12
Passes
81% (245/302)	83% (330/396)
Long passes
42% (20/48)	44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
60% (39/65)	70% (74/106)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.66	1.46
Throw-ins
18	14
Fouls
12	8
Tackles
60% (9/15)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
31	43
Clearances
14	17
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.56	0.22
Goals prevented
-0.44	0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
45+2', Moreno D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 2, Hoyos M. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
55', Tamayo K. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
58', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
58', Zuleta M. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
72', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
74', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
79', Guagua D. ↓, Cazares ↑,
80', Cazares 🟨,
86', Hoyos M. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
86', Sornoza J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
86', Cortez G. ↓, Loor L. ↑,
90', Spinelli C. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Moreno D. (Pen),
1, Cazares (Pen),
2, Mejia R. (Pen),
2, Mendez J. (Pen),
3, Gomez P. (Pen),
3, Ibarra R. (Pen),
4, Barrios M. (Pen),
4, Schunke R. (Pen),
5, Garcia M. (Pen),
5, Spinelli C. (Pen),
6, Aguirre J. (Pen),
6, Loor L. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
32.8%

Draw
29.1%

Independiente del Valle
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

29.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.7%

32.6%

Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.53)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)	6.1% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Once Caldas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente del Valle?

Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Once Caldas?

Independiente del Valle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle were as follows:

17.09.2025 Independiente del Valle - Once Caldas 0:2

Latest results of Once Caldas

19.09.2025 América de Cali - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Independiente del Valle - Once Caldas 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Once Caldas - Envigado 1:0 ✺

09.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pereira 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

20.09.2025 Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle 2:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Independiente del Valle - Once Caldas 0:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto 3:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Independiente del Valle - Técnico Universitario 4:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Emelec - Independiente del Valle 0:1 ✺

Draw

2026

Final

1	Nacional Asuncion	Recoleta
2	Sportivo Trinidense	Olimpia Asuncion
3	Alianza Atl.	Deportivo Garcilaso
4	Cienciano	FBC Melgar
5	Montevideo City	Defensor Sp.
6	Boston River	Racing Montevideo
7	Puerto Cabello	Monagas
8	Caracas	Metropolitanos
9	U. De Chile	Palestino
10	Cobresal	A. Italiano
11	Atl. Nacional	Millonarios
12	America De Cali	Bucaramanga
13	Independiente	Guabira
14	Blooming	SA Bulo Bulo
15	Dep. Cuenca	Libertad
16	Orense	Macara