Result
0:2
17/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Malaysia | Mola |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (328/385) | 86% (412/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (328/385) | 86% (412/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (60/94) | 73% (81/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/27) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.62 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
- 34', Carabajal M. 🟥,
- 39', Cazares ↓, Zarate L. ↑,
- 45+2', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ↓, Cardona J. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
- 56', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 58', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 59', Rodriguez A. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 59', Mendez J. ↓, Loor L. ↑,
- 72', Zuleta M. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 73', Mejia R. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 78', Cortez G. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 78', Fernandez M. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 78', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 83', Tamayo K. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
- 90+3', Castano J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
56.5% | Draw
26% | Once Caldas
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Independiente del Valle - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↑
(1.6) |
3.63 ↓
(4.03) |
5.47 ↑
(5.13) |
6.1%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
Independiente del Valle will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg.
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Once Caldas?
Independiente del Valle has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente del Valle?
Once Caldas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Once Caldas were as follows:
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Once Caldas
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. De Chile | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | 0 : 2 |
