Result
0:3 penalties
24/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Bolivia | Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | DirecTV Sports |
Colombia | ESPN 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Como TV |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Malaysia | Mola |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
Portugal | Sport TV3 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
South-america | DGO Latin America, ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America |
Spain | LaLiga+ |
Turkey | S Sport+ |
Uruguay | DSports 1 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 1.54 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (245/302) | 83% (330/396) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 1.54 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.22 | 1.56 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
81% (245/302) | 83% (330/396) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (20/48) | 44% (20/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (39/65) | 70% (74/106) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (2/11) | 16% (3/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.66 | 1.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.56 | 0.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.44 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
- 45+2', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Hoyos M. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
- 55', Tamayo K. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 58', Sanchez L. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 58', Zuleta M. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 72', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 74', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
- 79', Guagua D. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 80', Cazares 🟨,
- 86', Hoyos M. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 86', Sornoza J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 86', Cortez G. ↓, Loor L. ↑,
- 90', Spinelli C. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, Moreno D. (Pen),
- 1, Cazares (Pen),
- 2, Mejia R. (Pen),
- 2, Mendez J. (Pen),
- 3, Gomez P. (Pen),
- 3, Ibarra R. (Pen),
- 4, Barrios M. (Pen),
- 4, Schunke R. (Pen),
- 5, Garcia M. (Pen),
- 5, Spinelli C. (Pen),
- 6, Aguirre J. (Pen),
- 6, Loor L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Once Caldas 32.8% | Draw 29.1% | Independiente del Valle 38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.87 ↑ (2.53) |
3.25 ↑ (3.18) |
2.47 ↓ (2.8) |
6.1% (6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Once Caldas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente del Valle?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Once Caldas?
Independiente del Valle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
17.09.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Once Caldas
0:2
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
11 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
12 | Bye | Huracan | |
13 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Cienciano | |
15 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
16 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
5 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
6 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
7 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
8 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. De Chile | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
2 | Lanus | Fluminense | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
4 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | U. De Chile | Lanus | |
2 | Ind. del Valle | Atletico-MG | |
Final