Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (257/337) | 82% (393/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (257/337) | 82% (393/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (25/53) | 35% (17/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (96/138) | 72% (60/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Carabali J. ⚽,
- 43', Mercado P. 🟨,
- 45+1', Costa G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ibarra R. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 49', Concha J. 🟨,
- 64', Concha J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
- 64', Valera A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
- 71', Carabali J. 🟨,
- 72', Inga C. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 72', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 74', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 74', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 79', Urena R. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
- 88', Mercado P. ↓, Zabala C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Deportes
44.6% | Draw
30% | Independiente del Valle
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.17) |
3.12
(3.12) |
3.71 ↑
(3.59) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H.
(Muscle Injury)
Perez M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ind del Valle: Paez K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Independiente del Valle?
Universitario de Deportes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Universitario de Deportes?
Independiente del Valle has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
08.04.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Universitario de Deportes
1:0
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
