Universitario de Deportes vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle
Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.38
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
76% (257/337)82% (393/477)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.901.22
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
516
Passes
76% (257/337)82% (393/477)
Long passes
47% (25/53)35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
70% (96/138)72% (60/83)
Crosses
25% (7/28)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.61
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
165
Tackles
56% (9/16)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4464
Clearances
1539
Interceptions
175
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.221.90
Goals prevented
0.220.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ,
  • 34', 1 - 1, Carabali J. ,
  • 43', Mercado P. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Costa G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ibarra R. , Medina J. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez A. , Mendez J. ,
  • 49', Concha J. 🟨,
  • 64', Concha J. , Velez J. ,
  • 64', Valera A. , Diego Churin ,
  • 71', Carabali J. 🟨,
  • 72', Inga C. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 72', Flores E. , Rivera J. ,
  • 74', Spinelli C. , Hoyos M. ,
  • 74', Cazares , Sornoza J. ,
  • 79', Urena R. , Costa G. ,
  • 88', Mercado P. , Zabala C. ,

Chances of winning


Universitario de Deportes
44.6%
Draw
30%
Independiente del Valle
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 30.2% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 31.9% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.17)
    3.12
    (3.12)
    3.71
    (3.59)
    6.1%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H. (Muscle Injury) Perez M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ind del Valle: Paez K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Independiente del Valle - Universitario de Deportes 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)