Result
1:0
14/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South, ESPN South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (279/376) | 82% (386/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (279/376) | 82% (386/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/67) | 45% (21/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (82/131) | 79% (138/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 48% (12/25) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 46% (11/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Corzo A. 🟨,
- 38', Rivero O. 🟨,
- 38', Valera A. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Valera A. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Carabali J. 🟨,
- 54', Urena R. ↓, Murrugarra J. ↑,
- 61', Castillo Segura B. D. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
- 69', Flores E. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 69', Inga C. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 77', Souza de Almeida L. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 77', Oyola B. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 77', Concha J. ↓, Velez J. ↑,
- 90', Jesus Trindade ↓, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universitario de Deportes
45.3% | Draw
30% | Barcelona Guayaquil
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.34) |
3.13 ↑
(3.04) |
3.8 ↑
(3.34) |
6%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Uni de Deportes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni de Deportes (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Calcaterra H.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Barcelona: Mario Pineida
(Injury)
Pinargote Lara K. D.
(Muscle Injury)
Rangel A.
(Knee Injury)
Rojas J.
(Broken Leg)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uni de Deportes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Uni de Deportes won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Universitario de Deportes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Universitario de Deportes?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universitario de Deportes - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
22.04.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:1
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Penarol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
