Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/10/2025 at  18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Zapping | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 84', 1 - 0,  ⚽, 
- 86', 1 - 1,  ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Guayaquil City 55.1%
 | Draw 25.5%
 | Independiente Juniors 19.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guayaquil City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.1%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.65 ↓ (1.66)
 | 3.58 ↓ (3.87)
 | 4.71 ↑ (4.65)
 | 9.7% (7.6%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Guayaquil City is Qualified for Liga Pro (First stage )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 3.
- Guayaquil City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Independiente Jr is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guayaquil City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guayaquil City is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guayaquil City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against Independiente Juniors?
                    
                    
                        
                            Guayaquil City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Juniors won against Guayaquil City?
                    
                    
                        
                             Independiente Juniors has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors were as follows:
                                                        
                                26.09.2025 
                                Independiente Juniors 
                                - 
                                Guayaquil City 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.06.2025 
                                Guayaquil City 
                                - 
                                Independiente Juniors 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.04.2025 
                                Independiente Juniors 
                                - 
                                Guayaquil City 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.10.2024 
                                Guayaquil City 
                                - 
                                Independiente Juniors 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                17.08.2024 
                                Independiente Juniors 
                                - 
                                Guayaquil City 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Guayaquil City                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Independiente Juniors                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Ecuadorian Serie B Table
Relegation Group|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Atletico Vinotinto | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 47:31 | 16 | 42 | 
| 2 | Vargas Torres | 31 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 | 
| 3 | Cumbaya | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 39 | 
| 4 | 22 de Julio | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 27:44 | -17 | 38 | 
| 5 | Imbabura ✔ | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32:41 | -9 | 28 | 
| 6 | Chacaritas ✔ | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 30:57 | -27 | 24 | 
      Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Imbabura is Relegated to
Chacaritas is Relegated to