Independiente Medellín vs Alianza Valledupar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 1
Referee: Rojas A. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.74
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
21	9
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
15	3
Passes
87% (462/534)	73% (194/267)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.41	1.49
Total shots
21	9
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
11	1
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
14	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
15	3
Touches in opposition box
29	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
87% (462/534)	73% (194/267)
Long passes
63% (30/48)	36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
74% (163/219)	57% (30/53)
Crosses
11% (4/36)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.07	0.25
Throw-ins
20	23
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
88% (14/16)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
37	31
Clearances
13	39
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
1.49	1.41
Goals prevented
0.49	0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Del Valle A. ⚽, Manjarres R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Berrio L. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
46', Palacios J. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
57', Del Valle A. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
57', Manjarres R. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
61', Gil M. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
61', Moreno D. ↓, Rodallega Y. ↑,
61', Chaverra F. ↓, Mancilla G. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Perlaza B. ⚽, Martinez Yepez H. E. (A),
78', Pardo F. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
79', Castillo J. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
80', Arizala J. ↓, Torijano F. ↑,
83', Chaverra L. 🟨,
84', Torres E. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+2', Munoz J. 🟨,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/37fu3jak

Chances of winning

Independiente Medellín
67.7%

Draw
21.5%

Alianza Valledupar
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

23.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

23%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	4.27 ↑ (4)	8.69 ↑ (7.2)	7.5% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 3.
Ind Medellín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alianza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ind Medellín is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:7. (average 2.7:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Alianza Valledupar?

Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Valledupar won against Independiente Medellín?

Alianza Valledupar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar were as follows:

26.01.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 1:1

10.10.2024 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 2:0

24.02.2024 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 2:0

20.08.2023 Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar 2:1

26.02.2023 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín 0:1

Latest results of Independiente Medellín

29.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

24.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:0 ✺

19.06.2025 América de Cali - Independiente Medellín 1:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima 2:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Alianza Valledupar

15.06.2025 Barranquilla - Alianza Valledupar 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Envigado 3:3 ✺

08.06.2025 Orsomarso - Alianza Valledupar 2:2 ✺

04.06.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Rionegro Águilas 4:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Santa Fe 6:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	17	10	4	3	29:13	16	34
2	Atl. Nacional	17	8	7	2	32:21	11	31
3	Junior	17	9	4	4	31:21	10	31
4	Ind. Medellin	17	9	4	4	36:27	9	31
5	Fortaleza	17	8	7	2	23:16	7	31
6	Deportes Tolima	17	9	2	6	22:15	7	29
7	Llaneros	17	7	4	6	16:16	0	25
8	Aguilas	17	6	6	5	26:23	3	24
9	America De Cali	17	6	5	6	18:16	2	23
10	Alianza	17	6	5	6	21:21	0	23
11	Santa Fe	17	5	7	5	17:16	1	22
12	Once Caldas	17	6	4	7	19:23	-4	22
13	Millonarios	17	6	3	8	20:24	-4	21
14	Dep. Cali	17	5	5	7	21:25	-4	20
15	Pereira	17	4	6	7	18:24	-6	18
16	U. Magdalena	17	5	3	9	20:27	-7	18
17	Envigado	17	3	7	7	14:20	-6	16
18	Chico	17	3	7	7	13:23	-10	16
19	Dep. Pasto	17	2	7	8	19:27	-8	13
20	La Equidad	17	2	5	10	9:26	-17	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )