Result
2:1
30/03/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/379) | 84% (307/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (317/379) | 84% (307/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (36/61) | 49% (25/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (79/112) | 67% (41/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Guzman Y. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 36', Mantilla K. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Loboa H. ↓, Larrosa E. ↑,
- 47', Carrascal R. 🟨,
- 61', Palacios H. 🟨,
- 61', Palacios H. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
- 64', Machis D. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
- 64', Valencia D. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
- 76', Escobar J. 🟨,
- 78', Torres M. 🟨,
- 83', Chaverra L. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
- 84', Moreno D. ↓, Yony Gonzalez ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Ortiz J. ⚽, Chaverra F. (A),
- 85', Lucumi J. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
- 85', Bertel O. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Ortiz J. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
- 90+3', Escobar J. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc8j42ua
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
40.1% | Draw
29.7% | América de Cali
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América de Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Medellín - América de Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↑
(1.99) |
3.16 ↓
(3.44) |
3.1 ↓
(3.6) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - América de Cali?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). América de Cali will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - América de Cali (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- Ind Medellín is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- América de Cali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ind Medellín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against América de Cali?
Independiente Medellín has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Independiente Medellín?
América de Cali has won 7 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - América de Cali were as follows:
01.12.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
América de Cali
1:1
27.11.2025
América de Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
2:1
13.11.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
América de Cali
3:0
19.06.2025
América de Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
31.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
América de Cali
1:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of América de Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
