Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (134/193) | 85% (387/453) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (134/193) | 85% (387/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 47% (17/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 72% (97/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Loboa H. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Urango D. ⚽, Mejia J. (A),
- 41', Mantilla K. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 🟨,
- 56', Ordonez C. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Chaverra L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Moreno Y. ↓, Colpa Bolano R. R. ↑,
- 68', Larrosa E. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
- 68', Loboa H. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 68', Mena Perea E. ↓, Fabra F. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Montano J. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
- 74', Rodriguez Urango D. ↓, Jopito ↑,
- 74', Mosquera F. ↓, Cubides S. ↑,
- 80', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 84', Mejia J. 🟨,
- 89', Moreno D. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 90+5', Hinestroza J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdhbp7nb
Chances of winning
Jaguares de Córdoba
24.2% | Draw
29.7% | Independiente Medellín
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↑
(3.77) |
3.15 ↓
(3.29) |
2.03 ↑
(1.99) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0.
- Jaguares de Córdoba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ind Medellín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaguares de Córdoba won against Independiente Medellín?
Jaguares de Córdoba has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Jaguares de Córdoba?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
07.08.2025
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
31.07.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
1:1
28.10.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Jaguares de Córdoba
4:1
07.04.2024
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
02.09.2023
Jaguares de Córdoba
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
Latest results of Jaguares de Córdoba
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
