Result
1:1
14/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV |
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 129 | 90 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 57 | 23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Leon Muniz B. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Leon Muniz B. ⚽, Alvarado J. (A),
- 33', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
- 41', Palavecino N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leon Muniz B. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 46', Palavecino N. ↓, Echevarria F. ↑,
- 52', Soto A. 🟨,
- 52', Luis Orejuela 🟨,
- 61', Monsalve M. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 61', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 61', Gutierrez K. ↓, Lopez K. ↑,
- 61', Molinas A. ↓, Zapata Y. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Ortiz J. (Own goal),
- 69', Ortiz J. 🟨,
- 71', Marco F. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
- 73', Lima P. 🟨,
- 77', Moreno D. ↓, Chaverra L. ↑,
- 79', Fory J. 🟨,
- 87', Alanis G. ↓, Blandi N. ↑,
- 87', Luis Orejuela ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
- 89', Echevarria F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia
49.2% | Draw
27.5% | Independiente Medellín
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.8) |
3.41 ↑
(3.37) |
4.01 ↓
(4.31) |
6.7%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Defensa y Justicia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Independiente Medellín is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Independiente Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Defensa y Justicia have a series of guest games.
- In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Independiente Medellín?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Defensa y Justicia?
Independiente Medellín has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
25.04.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Defensa y Justicia
2:1
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
