Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín
Result
1:1
14/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Machado B. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV
brazilBrazilESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.42
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
114
Free Kicks
1018
Corner Kicks
100
Offsides
10
Throw-ins
2117
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1710
Yellow Cards
45
Attacks
12990
Dangerous Attacks
5723

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Leon Muniz B. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 1, Leon Muniz B. , Alvarado J. (A),
  • 33', Fiermarin C. 🟨,
  • 41', Palavecino N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leon Muniz B. , Garcia M. ,
  • 46', Palavecino N. , Echevarria F. ,
  • 52', Soto A. 🟨,
  • 52', Luis Orejuela 🟨,
  • 61', Monsalve M. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 61', Jhon Vasquez , Perlaza B. ,
  • 61', Gutierrez K. , Lopez K. ,
  • 61', Molinas A. , Zapata Y. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Ortiz J. (Own goal),
  • 69', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 71', Marco F. , Calderon E. ,
  • 73', Lima P. 🟨,
  • 77', Moreno D. , Chaverra L. ,
  • 79', Fory J. 🟨,
  • 87', Alanis G. , Blandi N. ,
  • 87', Luis Orejuela , Graciano C. ,
  • 89', Echevarria F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
49.2%
Draw
27.5%
Independiente Medellín
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 27.4% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 26.5% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.8)
    3.41
    (3.37)
    4.01
    (4.31)
    6.7%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Defensa y Justicia: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Defensa y Justicia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Independiente Medellín is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Independiente Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Defensa y Justicia have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    25.04.2024 Independiente Medellín - Defensa y Justicia 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2