Result
2:1
03/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Colombia - Second stage - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Perlaza B. 🟨,
- 14', Amaya A. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Fydriszewski F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ramiirez S. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
- 46', Solis J. ↓, Balanta Carabali K. A. ↑,
- 60', Cabezas E. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
- 63', Amaya A. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 72', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Cuero S. ⚽,
- 74', Barrera J. 🟨,
- 75', Perlaza B. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 77', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 77', Escorcia L. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Berrio L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
67.7% | Draw
20.9% | Fortaleza CEIF
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.59) |
4.38 ↑
(3.55) |
7.91 ↑
(5.71) |
7.3%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 19.1% – 73.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Ind Medellín (votes: 4 - 100%).
- AH -1 - Ind Medellín (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fortaleza CEIF will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- Ind Medellín has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fortaleza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ind Medellín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Ind Medellín will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Ind Medellín won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Medellín has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Independiente Medellín?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
27.08.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
27.04.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
26.08.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
17.02.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:2
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Draw
Second stage1/8-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | Alianza | 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Real Cundinamarca | Pereira | 2 : 2, 3 : 4 |
| 4 | Millonarios | Envigado | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. | Junior | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Atl. Nacional | Quindio | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Dep. Pasto | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
