Result
3:1
17/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (435/509) | 82% (318/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (435/509) | 82% (318/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 50% (29/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (94/136) | 61% (47/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 0% (0/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Arroyo A. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
- 17', Salas J. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Leon B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 52', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Leon B. ⚽, Loboa H. (A),
- 63', 3 - 1, Chaverra F. ⚽, Leon B. (A),
- 66', Velasquez J. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 66', Escorcia L. ↓, Mosquera C. ↑,
- 77', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 77', Salas J. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 81', Marulanda J. 🟨,
- 84', Leon B. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 84', Perlaza B. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 86', Ricaurte A. ↓, Pajaro R. ↑,
- 88', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Barrera J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
57.8% | Draw
24.4% | Fortaleza CEIF
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.44) |
3.9 ↓
(4.35) |
5.37 ↓
(6.79) |
2.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Ind Medellín has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Medellín has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Independiente Medellín?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
03.09.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
27.08.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
27.04.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
26.08.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
17.02.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:2
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Medellin ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 43:28 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 37:22 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27:16 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | Fortaleza ✔ | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25:17 | 8 | 35 |
| 6 | Junior | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | America De Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 26 |
| 9 | Alianza | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 26 |
| 10 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 25 |
| 12 | Millonarios | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 23 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Pereira | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 13:25 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
