Fortaleza CEIF vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín
Result
0:0
27/04/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.32
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
73% (179/245)87% (474/546)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.17
Total shots
106
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
65
Passes
73% (179/245)87% (474/546)
Long passes
34% (21/62)62% (42/68)
Passes in final third
57% (54/94)61% (61/100)
Crosses
20% (2/10)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.440.55
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
56
Tackles
100% (7/7)83% (10/12)
Duels won
2327
Clearances
2013
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.170.28
Goals prevented
0.170.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
  • 32', Ramiirez S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Mosquera J. , Sandoval L. ,
  • 57', Berrio L. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 65', Martinez J. , Salas J. ,
  • 65', Camacho D. , Florez K. ,
  • 69', Fydriszewski F. , Leon B. ,
  • 70', Martinez Yepez H. E. , Moreno D. ,
  • 82', Cordoba S. , Cuero S. ,
  • 82', Sanchez L. , Ricaurte A. ,
  • 83', Serna A. , Rodallega Y. ,
  • 89', Alvarado J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Sandoval L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Fortaleza CEIF
22.9%
Draw
28.7%
Independiente Medellín
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.2% 26% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 25.4% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (3.8)
    3.27
    (3.55)
    1.94
    (1.85)
    6.7%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Ind Medellín is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    26.08.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Medellín 2:2
    17.02.2024 Independiente Medellín - Fortaleza CEIF 2:2
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior33009:369
    2Fortaleza32104:227
    3Atl. Nacional32017:436
    4Santa Fe31203:215
    5Llaneros31202:115
    6Chico31114:314
    7Envigado31114:404
    8Pereira31114:404
    9Alianza31112:204
    10La Equidad31112:3-14
    11Dep. Pasto11003:213
    12Deportes Tolima31023:4-13
    13Aguilas30212:3-12
    14Dep. Cali30211:3-22
    15Bucaramanga10101:101
    16America De Cali10100:001
    17Ind. Medellin30124:7-31
    18U. Magdalena20111:4-31
    19Millonarios10010:1-10
    20Once Caldas20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )