Result
1:1
02/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (337/403) | 82% (276/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (337/403) | 82% (276/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 48% (15/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (71/99) | 70% (64/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Larrosa E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Moreno D. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 46', Mena Perea E. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
- 46', Tamayo K. ↓, Patino J. ↑,
- 63', Serna A. 🟨,
- 67', Sanchez L. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 67', Quinones D. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 68', Montano J. ↓, Yony Gonzalez ↑,
- 68', Fabra F. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 78', Cardona J. ↓, Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ↑,
- 79', Serna A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 0, Zuleta M. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
- 84', 1 - 1, Perlaza B. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
- 86', Catano D. 🟨,
- 88', Zuleta M. 🟨,
- 90', Quinones J. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
- 90', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Mejia R. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3jk8ecuz
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
40.8% | Draw
28.6% | Independiente Medellín
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-1%)
Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(2.06) |
3.27 ↓
(3.78) |
3.06 ↓
(3.11) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
Once Caldas will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 1.
- Once Caldas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ind Medellín is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Once Caldas might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente Medellín?
Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Once Caldas?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
13.10.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Medellín
1:5
19.04.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Once Caldas
2:0
28.09.2024
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Medellín
0:2
16.03.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Once Caldas
1:2
01.10.2023
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
