Result
2:2
30/03/2026 at 21:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (250/306) | 84% (296/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (250/306) | 84% (296/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (89/128) | 69% (59/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (11/44) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Marulanda J. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Castro L. ⚽,
- 30', Arias J. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Valencia S. ⚽, Viveros S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 2, Herrera J. ⚽, Marulanda J. (A),
- 62', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 64', Contreras R. 🟨,
- 64', Viveros S. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 64', Diaz Y. 🟨,
- 70', Balanta J. 🟨,
- 72', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Cajares J. ↑,
- 80', Velasquez J. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 81', Garcia M. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 81', Silva D. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 84', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 90+6', Pico L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Castro L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Novoa D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millonarios
60.7% | Draw
23.9% | Fortaleza CEIF
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.52) |
3.9 ↓
(4.02) |
6.14 ↑
(6.04) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Millonarios (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5.
- Millonarios is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fortaleza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
- We predict that Millonarios will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Millonarios has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Millonarios?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
21.09.2025
Millonarios
-
Fortaleza CEIF
3:2
06.04.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Millonarios
0:2
16.10.2024
Millonarios
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
30.03.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Millonarios
1:2
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
