Jaguares de Córdoba vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.611.16
Ball possession
31%69%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
44
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
57
Passes
69% (134/193)85% (387/453)
Yellow cards
41
Expected goals (xG)
0.611.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.461.21
Total shots
129
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
104
Shots outside the box
25
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
714
Passes
69% (134/193)85% (387/453)
Long passes
38% (18/48)47% (17/36)
Passes in final third
57% (30/53)72% (97/135)
Crosses
36% (4/11)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.49
Throw ins
918
Fouls
147
Tackles
61% (11/18)50% (3/6)
Duels won
4238
Clearances
3123
Interceptions
42
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.210.46
Goals prevented
-0.79-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Loboa H. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Urango D. , Mejia J. (A),
  • 41', Mantilla K. , Escorcia L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 🟨,
  • 56', Ordonez C. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Chaverra L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 66', Moreno Y. , Colpa Bolano R. R. ,
  • 68', Larrosa E. , Fydriszewski F. ,
  • 68', Loboa H. , Moreno D. ,
  • 68', Mena Perea E. , Fabra F. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Montano J. , Fydriszewski F. (A),
  • 74', Rodriguez Urango D. , Jopito ,
  • 74', Mosquera F. , Cubides S. ,
  • 80', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. , Lopez D. ,
  • 84', Mejia J. 🟨,
  • 89', Moreno D. , Perlaza B. ,
  • 90+5', Hinestroza J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdhbp7nb

Chances of winning


Jaguares de Córdoba
24.2%
Draw
29.7%
Independiente Medellín
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 28.4% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 27.2% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaguares de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.88
    (3.77)
    3.15
    (3.29)
    2.03
    (1.99)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jaguares de Córdoba will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 16)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 0.
    • Jaguares de Córdoba has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ind Medellín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ind Medellín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ind Medellín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 7 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín 0:1
    31.07.2025 Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba 1:1
    28.10.2024 Independiente Medellín - Jaguares de Córdoba 4:1
    07.04.2024 Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín 2:2
    02.09.2023 Jaguares de Córdoba - Independiente Medellín 1:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1290326:91727
    2Dep. Pasto1383220:15527
    3Once Caldas1365224:17723
    4Junior1371519:18122
    5Inter Bogotu00e11356217:18-121
    6Millonarios1362523:14920
    7America De Cali1162316:8820
    8Deportes Tolima1255215:9620
    9Bucaramanga1247116:8819
    10Dep. Cali1344514:12216
    11Aguilas1244412:12016
    12Llaneros1236314:13115
    13Santa Fe1236314:15-115
    14Fortaleza1335514:20-614
    15Ind. Medellin1234516:17-113
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1332811:23-1211
    17Alianza122557:19-1211
    18Cucuta1315718:27-98
    19Chico1222810:20-108
    20Pereira1206612:24-126

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