Universidad César Vallejo vs Independiente Medellín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Universidad César Vallejo - Independiente Medellín
Result
1:5
07/05/2024 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Zanovelli P. C. (Bra)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.503.52
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1514
Shots on Goal
27
Shots off Goal
137
Free Kicks
610
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
20
Throw-ins
1013
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Fouls
108
Yellow Cards
21
Attacks
90103
Dangerous Attacks
2539

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Leon Muniz B. , Monsalve M. (A),
  • 17', Velez J. 🟨,
  • 19', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Velez J. ,
  • 31', Chaverra L. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Leon Muniz B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Chaverra L. , Graciano C. ,
  • 53', Moreno D. , Alvarado J. ,
  • 59', 1 - 3, Garcia M. , Monsalve M. (A),
  • 63', Mena Y. , Noronha O. ,
  • 63', Ysique F. , Barreto O. ,
  • 64', Velez J. , Benavente C. ,
  • 73', 1 - 4, Monsalve M. , Lima P. (A),
  • 75', Da Silva P. , Olaya S. ,
  • 77', Garcia M. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 77', Jhon Vasquez , Perlaza B. ,
  • 79', 1 - 5, Perlaza B. , Leon Muniz B. (A),
  • 80', Leon Muniz B. , Davila A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Universidad César Vallejo
29.3%
Draw
29.2%
Independiente Medellín
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 28.9% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 29% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Universidad César Vallejo - Independiente Medellín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.9)
    3.23
    (3.23)
    2.25
    (2.41)
    6.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Universidad César Vallejo - Independiente Medellín?
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Medellín will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches César Vallejo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Independiente Medellín in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • César Vallejo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Independiente Medellín will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches César Vallejo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad César Vallejo - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
    10.04.2024 Independiente Medellín - Universidad César Vallejo 4:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2