Result
0:3
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Greece | Action 24 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia Plus |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (318/416) | 83% (313/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (318/416) | 83% (313/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 40% (20/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (94/153) | 82% (71/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.64 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
- 22', Souto P. 🟨,
- 26', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Centurion E. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 63', Amarfil M. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 63', Souto P. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
- 64', Aguirre B. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 64', Cavani E. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 70', Carlos Palacios ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 73', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 76', Ortega T. ↓, Barbieri J. ↑,
- 83', Velasco A. 🟨,
- 88', 0 - 2, Zeballos E. ⚽, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (A),
- 90', 0 - 3, Velasco A. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
- 90+1', Bottari T. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
- 90+1', Gomez L. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 90+3', Studer S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
32.7% | Draw
32.4% | Boca Juniors
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.74) |
2.9 ↓
(3.2) |
2.72 ↑
(2.63) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31% – 73.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Independiente R (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
- Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Boca Juniors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M.
(Injury)
Ramis V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T.
(Muscle Injury)
Figal J.
(Calf Injury)
Herrera A.
(Muscle Injury)
Lema C.
(Inactive)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
Saracchi M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Boca Juniors?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Boca Juniors has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
11.02.2025
Boca Juniors
-
Independiente Rivadavia
2:0
10.08.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
