Independiente Rivadavia vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors
Result
0:3
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceAction 24
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia Plus
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.53
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
76% (318/416)83% (313/375)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.36
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
76% (318/416)83% (313/375)
Long passes
44% (24/54)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
61% (94/153)82% (71/87)
Crosses
22% (5/23)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.44
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1112
Tackles
75% (12/16)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
1634
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.360.00
Goals prevented
-1.640.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
  • 22', Souto P. 🟨,
  • 26', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Centurion E. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', Amarfil M. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 63', Souto P. , Retamar K. ,
  • 64', Aguirre B. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 64', Cavani E. , Gimenez M. ,
  • 70', Carlos Palacios , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 73', Miguel Merentiel , Velasco A. ,
  • 76', Ortega T. , Barbieri J. ,
  • 83', Velasco A. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Zeballos E. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (A),
  • 90', 0 - 3, Velasco A. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 90+1', Bottari T. , Osella A. ,
  • 90+1', Gomez L. , Munoz S. ,
  • 90+3', Studer S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
32.7%
Draw
32.4%
Boca Juniors
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 29.5% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.2% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.74)
    2.9
    (3.2)
    2.72
    (2.63)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31%73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boca Juniors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Muscle Injury) Figal J. (Calf Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Lema C. (Inactive) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Saracchi M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Boca Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:0
    10.08.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors 1:1
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    2Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    3Barracas Central1145213:11217
    4Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    5Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    6Tigre1144310:8216
    7Huracan114436:8-216
    8Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    9Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys112459:17-810
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo114439:8116
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

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