Independiente Rivadavia vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
greeceGreeceAction 24
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia Plus
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.53
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
76% (318/416)83% (313/375)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.36
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
76% (318/416)83% (313/375)
Long passes
44% (24/54)40% (20/50)
Passes in final third
61% (94/153)82% (71/87)
Crosses
22% (5/23)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.351.44
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
1112
Tackles
75% (12/16)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4952
Clearances
1634
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.360.00
Goals prevented
-1.640.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
  • 22', Souto P. 🟨,
  • 26', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 1, Centurion E. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', Amarfil M. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 63', Souto P. , Retamar K. ,
  • 64', Aguirre B. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 64', Cavani E. , Gimenez M. ,
  • 70', Carlos Palacios , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 73', Miguel Merentiel , Velasco A. ,
  • 76', Ortega T. , Barbieri J. ,
  • 83', Velasco A. 🟨,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Zeballos E. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (A),
  • 90', 0 - 3, Velasco A. , Gimenez M. (A),
  • 90+1', Bottari T. , Osella A. ,
  • 90+1', Gomez L. , Munoz S. ,
  • 90+3', Studer S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
32.7%
Draw
32.4%
Boca Juniors
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 29.5% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 29.2% 35.6%

Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.87
(2.74)
2.9
(3.2)
2.72
(2.63)
6.1%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31%73.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Independiente R (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Independiente R has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boca Juniors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Peinipil M. (Injury) Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Muscle Injury) Figal J. (Calf Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Lema C. (Inactive) Romero S. (Knee Injury) Saracchi M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Boca Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia 2:0
    10.08.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Boca Juniors 1:1
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield43106:3310
    2Lanus42208:628
    3Estudiantes L.P42204:228
    4Defensa y Justicia42204:228
    5Platense42114:317
    6Boca Juniors42025:416
    7Independiente41304:316
    8San Lorenzo42024:406
    9Gimnasia Mendoza42022:5-36
    10Union de Santa Fe41125:324
    11Talleres Cordoba41125:6-14
    12Central Cordoba41121:2-14
    13Instituto40133:6-31
    14Dep. Riestra40131:4-31
    15Newells Old Boys40134:8-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia44007:3412
    2Tigre431010:3710
    3Belgrano42204:228
    4River Plate42114:407
    5Sarmiento Junin42024:406
    6Gimnasia L.P42025:6-16
    7Barracas Central41213:215
    8Rosario Central41214:405
    9Huracan41214:405
    10Argentinos Jrs41212:205
    11Banfield41123:4-14
    12Aldosivi40312:4-23
    13Racing Club41035:8-33
    14Atl. Tucuman40223:5-22
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto40131:5-41

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)