Result
3:2
02/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.95 | 0.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
73% (266/366) | 81% (298/370) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.95 | 0.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.93 | 0.52 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 12 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
73% (266/366) | 81% (298/370) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (30/73) | 43% (21/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (59/99) | 69% (85/124) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 22% (5/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.84 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.52 | 2.93 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.48 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 1 - 0, Gomez L. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Perez C. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
- 38', Sequeira L. ↓, Ortega T. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 2, Togni G. ⚽, Gutierrez K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Valenti M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
- 54', Rubio T. 🟨,
- 57', Gonzalez F. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 61', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 63', Aguilera E. 🟨,
- 64', Gonzalez L. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 68', Bottari T. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez M. ↓, Barbieri J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Sartori F. ⚽, Retamar K. (A),
- 79', Osorio A. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
- 79', Perez C. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
- 79', Gutierrez K. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Cardillo M. ⚽, Retamar K. (A),
- 84', Gomez L. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
- 90', Larralde V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia 39.2% | Draw 31% | Defensa y Justicia 29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.43 ↓ (3.4) |
3.05 ↓ (3.28) |
3.17 ↑ (2.1) |
5.6% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 60.6% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Independiente R (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Rivadavia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Independiente R is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Independiente R is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Defensa y Justicia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Defensa y Justicia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Ramis V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K.
(Muscle Injury)
Barbona D.
(Knee Injury)
Franco L.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa M.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Defensa y Justicia?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
16.09.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
2 | Banfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Union de Santa Fe | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Belgrano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Newells Old Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Tigre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Barracas Central | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Central Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Aldosivi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Huracan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Atl. Tucuman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Rosario Central | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Instituto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
10 | Sarmiento Junin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Godoy Cruz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Gimnasia L.P | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Lanus | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)