Result
0:2
17/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2, HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (453/534) | 71% (193/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (453/534) | 71% (193/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (38/63) | 38% (26/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (93/144) | 59% (46/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Miranda M. ↓, Aguiar M. ↑,
- 46', Sosa S. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
- 55', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 62', Molinas A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 63', Sartori F. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 2, Studer S. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
- 74', Cardillo M. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
- 82', Delgado R. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
- 82', Fernandez M. ↓, Tonetto D. ↑,
- 82', Gomez L. ↓, Andino T. ↑,
- 82', Osella A. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
- 86', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 87', Villalba I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia
51.6% | Draw
28.2% | Independiente Rivadavia
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.89) |
3.35 ↑
(3.2) |
4.61 ↑
(4.4) |
5.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia?
Users Predictions:
Defensa y Justicia will win
(39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.24% – 93.72%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensa y Justicia will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.
- Defensa y Justicia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Independiente R has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Defensa y Justicia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Defensa y Justicia?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
02.05.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Defensa y Justicia
3:2
16.09.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:0
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Independiente | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:22 | -16 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Tigre | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Banfield | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3:15 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
