Result
3:2
02/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN, ESPN Premium |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (266/366) | 81% (298/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (266/366) | 81% (298/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/73) | 43% (21/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (59/99) | 69% (85/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.48 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 19', 1 - 0, Gomez L. ⚽, Fernandez M. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Perez C. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
- 38', Sequeira L. ↓, Ortega T. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 2, Togni G. ⚽, Gutierrez K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Valenti M. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
- 54', Rubio T. 🟨,
- 57', Gonzalez F. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 61', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 63', Aguilera E. 🟨,
- 64', Gonzalez L. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 68', Bottari T. ↓, Cardillo M. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez M. ↓, Barbieri J. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Sartori F. ⚽, Retamar K. (A),
- 79', Osorio A. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
- 79', Perez C. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
- 79', Gutierrez K. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Cardillo M. ⚽, Retamar K. (A),
- 84', Gomez L. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
- 90', Larralde V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
39.2% | Draw
31% | Defensa y Justicia
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Rivadavia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(3.4) |
3.05 ↓
(3.28) |
3.17 ↑
(2.1) |
5.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 60.6% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Independiente R (votes: 5 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Rivadavia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Independiente R is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Independiente R is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Defensa y Justicia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Defensa y Justicia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Ramis V.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K.
(Muscle Injury)
Barbona D.
(Knee Injury)
Franco L.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa M.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Defensa y Justicia?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
16.09.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 24 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 16 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
