Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, HBO Max, TNT Sports
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.53
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (453/534)71% (193/271)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.56
Total shots
117
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
156
Passes
85% (453/534)71% (193/271)
Long passes
60% (38/63)38% (26/68)
Passes in final third
65% (93/144)59% (46/78)
Crosses
8% (2/25)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.44
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
615
Tackles
71% (5/7)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3729
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.560.24
Goals prevented
-0.440.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. , Villa S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Miranda M. , Aguiar M. ,
  • 46', Sosa S. , Gutierrez K. ,
  • 46', Gutierrez J. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 55', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 62', Molinas A. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 63', Sartori F. , Retamar K. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Studer S. , Gomez L. (A),
  • 74', Cardillo M. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 82', Delgado R. , Stefanelli N. ,
  • 82', Fernandez M. , Tonetto D. ,
  • 82', Gomez L. , Andino T. ,
  • 82', Osella A. , Villalba I. ,
  • 86', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 87', Villalba I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
51.6%
Draw
28.2%
Independiente Rivadavia
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 29.2% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 28.7% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.89)
    3.35
    (3.2)
    4.61
    (4.4)
    5.5%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: Defensa y Justicia will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.24%93.72%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensa y Justicia will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente R has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Defensa y Justicia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia 3:2
    16.09.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia 1:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)