Boyacá Chicó vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/10/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio La Independencia (Tunja).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 16
Referee: Rivera H. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.22	0.85
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	4
Passes
82% (314/382)	81% (284/350)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.22	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.04	1.01
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
5	9
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
1	7
Shots outside the Box
10	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
6	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
5	3
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
82% (314/382)	81% (284/350)
Long passes
51% (37/72)	24% (8/34)
Passes in final third
61% (54/89)	69% (59/85)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.30	0.44
Throw-ins
12	16
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
50% (5/10)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
38	36
Clearances
26	21
Interceptions
6	1
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.01	0.04
Goals prevented
1.01	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Murillo E. 🟨,
35', Banguero A. 🟨,
37', Torres D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', Hernandez V. ↓, Valencia A. ↑,
73', Mafla C. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
73', Murillo E. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
86', Torres J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
86', Mosquera H. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
87', Arango E. ↓, Marcelin Perez J. G. ↑,
87', Londono K. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90+5', Denis D. ↓, Caicedo Vasquez R. A. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yh78xmbc

Chances of winning

Boyacá Chicó
26.7%

Draw
30.3%

Independiente Santa Fe
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

29.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boyacá Chicó's form might have worsened.

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boyacá Chicó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.88)	3.1 (3.1)	2.2 ↓ (2.46)	6.5% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 0.
Boyacá Chicó is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Santa Fe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Boyacá Chicó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Santa Fe might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Boyacá Chicó won against Independiente Santa Fe?

Boyacá Chicó has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Boyacá Chicó?

Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:

27.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó 0:0

10.10.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó 3:1

26.02.2024 Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2

13.09.2023 Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1

31.03.2023 Independiente Santa Fe - Boyacá Chicó 1:0

Latest results of Boyacá Chicó

13.10.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Boyacá Chicó 1:0 ✺

05.10.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Nacional 1:1 ✺

26.09.2025 Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó 5:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pereira 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe

12.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Llaneros SA 1:3 ✺

01.10.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Independiente Medellín 0:3 ✺

28.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 3:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	16	9	4	3	30:19	11	31
2	Bucaramanga	15	9	3	3	26:12	14	30
3	Ind. Medellin	15	9	3	3	33:21	12	30
4	Atl. Nacional	16	7	7	2	27:19	8	28
5	Fortaleza	16	7	7	2	21:16	5	28
6	Llaneros	16	7	4	5	16:14	2	25
7	Deportes Tolima	15	7	2	6	18:14	4	23
8	Santa Fe	15	5	6	4	16:14	2	21
9	Aguilas	16	5	6	5	21:22	-1	21
10	America De Cali	16	5	5	6	16:15	1	20
11	Alianza	16	5	5	6	19:21	-2	20
12	Dep. Cali	16	5	5	6	20:23	-3	20
13	Once Caldas	16	5	4	7	18:23	-5	19
14	Pereira	16	4	6	6	17:19	-2	18
15	U. Magdalena	16	5	3	8	20:26	-6	18
16	Millonarios	15	5	2	8	18:23	-5	17
17	Envigado	16	3	7	6	14:18	-4	16
18	Dep. Pasto	16	2	7	7	19:25	-6	13
19	Chico	16	2	7	7	11:23	-12	13
20	La Equidad	15	2	5	8	9:22	-13	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )