Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (300/392) | 78% (239/307) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (300/392) | 78% (239/307) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/63) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (82/128) | 69% (69/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (16/17) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Estupinan A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Torres J. ↓, Velasquez Y. ↑,
- 66', Lopez E. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 66', Melendez J. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
- 73', Zapata A. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
- 73', Torres D. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 77', Viafara F. ↓, Luis Orejuela ↑,
- 77', Estupinan A. ↓, Aponza J. ↑,
- 77', Martinez J. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
- 82', Orozco M. 🟨,
- 83', Sosa J. 🟨,
- 86', Moreno Y. 🟨,
- 87', Hurtado A. ↓, Galindo J. ↑,
- 90+1', Quintero Y. ↓, Colorado A. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Mosquera H. ⚽,
- 90+7', Mosquera H. 🟨,
- 90+9', Luis Orejuela 🟨,
- 90+11', Rodallega H. 🟨,
- 90+11', Colorado A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/y7xhy9e8
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
52% | Draw
27.4% | Deportivo Cali
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.77) |
3.42 ↑
(3.35) |
4.49 ↓
(4.56) |
7.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Santa Fe (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Santa Fe (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Santa Fe (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Santa Fe (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 2nd Half - Santa Fe (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Santa Fe (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1, 2nd Half - Santa Fe (3.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75, 2nd Half - Santa Fe (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Santa Fe (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25, 2nd Half - Santa Fe (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1, 1st Half - Santa Fe (5.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75, 1st Half - Santa Fe (3.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25, 1st Half - Santa Fe (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Santa Fe (5.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Santa Fe (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Santa Fe (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Santa Fe (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, 2nd Half - Santa Fe (5.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 21 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4.
- In recent matches, Santa Fe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Cali is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportivo Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Santa Fe is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo Cali?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo Cali has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali were as follows:
17.05.2025
Deportivo Cali
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:2
20.08.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:3
13.02.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Cali
1:0
06.09.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:2
16.08.2023
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Cali
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
