Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (223/280) | 82% (321/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (223/280) | 82% (321/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/92) | 67% (95/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 25% (8/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Torres D. 🟨,
- 36', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
- 44', Rios J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Torres D. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Valois Y. ⚽,
- 52', Velasquez Y. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 52', Perlaza E. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
- 64', Castillo D. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
- 64', Ordonez F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 73', Castano M. 🟨,
- 74', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 75', Murillo E. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
- 76', Mendez J. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 85', Bone F. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Mafla C. ⚽,
- 90', Lopez E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3uvd9xt7
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto
27.8% | Draw
34.4% | Independiente Santa Fe
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.37 ↑
(2.85) |
2.72 ↓
(2.99) |
2.51 ↓
(2.6) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
- Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Fe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo Pasto?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
04.04.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:1
02.12.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:2
29.11.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
17.07.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
22.01.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 34 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 32:21 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 36:27 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 22:15 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16:16 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26:23 | 3 | 24 |
| 9 | America De Cali | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Alianza | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 20 |
| 15 | Pereira | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 18 |
| 17 | Envigado | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Chico | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
