Result
1:1
04/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/413) | 79% (254/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (333/413) | 79% (254/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 46% (29/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (75/117) | 59% (44/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.83 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
- 41', Castano M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Velasquez Y. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 59', Albornoz O. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
- 65', Morinigo N. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
- 65', Castano M. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 65', Castilla J. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 65', Mosquera H. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
- 71', Torres J. 🟨,
- 72', Franco J. 🟨,
- 77', Charrupi G. ↓, Rendon K. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Rendon K. ⚽,
- 79', Torres G. 🟨,
- 82', Fernandez O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 82', Ararat J. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 90', Torres G. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4j2355kz
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
56.4% | Draw
27.6% | Deportivo Pasto
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.62) |
3.4 ↓
(3.55) |
5.76 ↑
(5.3) |
6.3%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Nuestra Tele
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 2.
- Santa Fe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Deportivo Pasto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Deportivo Pasto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Santa Fe is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santa Fe won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo Pasto?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
02.12.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:2
29.11.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
17.07.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
22.01.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
06.08.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
