Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 1.79 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
80% (223/280) | 82% (321/393) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 1.79 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.15 | 1.69 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 32 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
80% (223/280) | 82% (321/393) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (33/62) | 55% (29/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (63/92) | 67% (95/142) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/16) | 25% (8/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.30 | 1.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (6/12) | 93% (14/15) |
Duels won |
---|
33 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
46 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.69 | 1.15 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.69 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Torres D. 🟨,
- 36', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
- 44', Rios J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Torres D. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Valois Y. ⚽,
- 52', Velasquez Y. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 52', Perlaza E. ↓, Meli M. ↑,
- 64', Castillo D. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
- 64', Ordonez F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 73', Castano M. 🟨,
- 74', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 75', Murillo E. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
- 76', Mendez J. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 85', Bone F. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Mafla C. ⚽,
- 90', Lopez E. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3uvd9xt7
Chances of winning
Deportivo Pasto 27.8% | Draw 34.4% | Independiente Santa Fe 37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.37 ↑ (2.85) |
2.72 ↓ (2.99) |
2.51 ↓ (2.6) |
6.3% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
- Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Fe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo Pasto?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
04.04.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:1
02.12.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:2
29.11.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
17.07.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
22.01.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 25:12 | 13 | 27 |
2 | Junior | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 25 |
3 | Fortaleza | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:12 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dep. Cali | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Alianza | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Llaneros | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Pereira | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | U. Magdalena | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 15 |
14 | America De Cali | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Aguilas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
16 | Millonarios | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
17 | Envigado | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Chico | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 12 |
19 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
20 | La Equidad | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )