Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ulloa D. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.79
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
80% (223/280)82% (321/393)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.631.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.151.69
Total shots
1320
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
610
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
832
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
815
Passes
80% (223/280)82% (321/393)
Long passes
53% (33/62)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)67% (95/142)
Crosses
13% (2/16)25% (8/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.301.55
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
158
Tackles
50% (6/12)93% (14/15)
Duels won
3342
Clearances
4622
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.691.15
Goals prevented
0.690.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Torres D. 🟨,
  • 36', Jimenez M. S. 🟨,
  • 44', Rios J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Torres D. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Valois Y. ,
  • 52', Velasquez Y. , Lopez E. ,
  • 52', Perlaza E. , Meli M. ,
  • 64', Castillo D. , Preciado P. ,
  • 64', Ordonez F. , Valencia J. ,
  • 73', Castano M. 🟨,
  • 74', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 75', Murillo E. , Tamayo S. ,
  • 76', Mendez J. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 85', Bone F. , Rivas J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Mafla C. ,
  • 90', Lopez E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3uvd9xt7

Chances of winning


Deportivo Pasto
27.8%
Draw
34.4%
Independiente Santa Fe
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 31.2% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1% 31.5% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Pasto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (2.85)
    2.72
    (2.99)
    2.51
    (2.6)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 2.
    • Deportivo Pasto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santa Fe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 1:1
    02.12.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 1:2
    29.11.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe 1:0
    17.07.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto 2:1
    22.01.2024 Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga17104329:131634
    2Atl. Nacional1787232:211131
    3Junior1794431:211031
    4Ind. Medellin1794436:27931
    5Fortaleza1787223:16731
    6Deportes Tolima1792622:15729
    7Llaneros1774616:16025
    8Aguilas1766526:23324
    9America De Cali1765618:16223
    10Alianza1765621:21023
    11Santa Fe1757517:16122
    12Once Caldas1764719:23-422
    13Millonarios1763820:24-421
    14Dep. Cali1755721:25-420
    15Pereira1746718:24-618
    16U. Magdalena1753920:27-718
    17Envigado1737714:20-616
    18Chico1737713:23-1016
    19Dep. Pasto1727819:27-813
    20La Equidad1725109:26-1711

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )