Result
1:1
04/04/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Gracia Benitez L. D. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 0.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
81% (333/413) | 79% (254/323) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.89 | 0.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.19 | 1.70 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 16 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
81% (333/413) | 79% (254/323) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (26/53) | 46% (29/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (75/117) | 59% (44/75) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 28% (7/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.65 | 0.83 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
63% (5/8) | 71% (5/7) |
Duels won |
---|
32 | 24 |
Clearances Total |
---|
24 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.70 | 0.19 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.70 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
- 41', Castano M. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Velasquez Y. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 59', Albornoz O. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
- 65', Morinigo N. ↓, Ritacco G. ↑,
- 65', Castano M. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
- 65', Castilla J. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 65', Mosquera H. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
- 71', Torres J. 🟨,
- 72', Franco J. 🟨,
- 77', Charrupi G. ↓, Rendon K. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Rendon K. ⚽,
- 79', Torres G. 🟨,
- 82', Fernandez O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 82', Ararat J. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 90', Torres G. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4j2355kz
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe 56.4% | Draw 27.6% | Deportivo Pasto 16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↑ (1.62) |
3.4 ↓ (3.55) |
5.76 ↑ (5.3) |
6.3% (8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Nuestra Tele
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Santa Fe will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 2.
- Santa Fe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Deportivo Pasto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Deportivo Pasto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Santa Fe is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:17 (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santa Fe won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportivo Pasto?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportivo Pasto has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
02.12.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:2
29.11.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
17.07.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportivo Pasto
2:1
22.01.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
06.08.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )