Result
1:1
07/02/2026 at 18:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (338/403) | 78% (234/300) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (338/403) | 78% (234/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (29/56) | 41% (18/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (79/109) | 63% (45/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Murillo E. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 63', Arroyo A. 🟨,
- 63', Pico L. 🟨,
- 70', Toscano Bassa K. D. 🟨,
- 72', Palacios L. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
- 78', Arroyo A. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 78', Wilke T. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
- 78', Amaya A. ↓, Rivas Torres R. D. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Salas J. ⚽,
- 82', Mosquera E. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 82', Torres D. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 82', Fagundez F. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
- 84', Navarro S. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Bustos N. ⚽,
- 90+6', Ramirez D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Diaz Y. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 90+7', Pernia M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
32.8% | Draw
31.7% | Independiente Santa Fe
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.15) |
2.93 ↓
(3.09) |
2.64 ↓
(3.42) |
7.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Santa Fe (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.
- Recent performances by Fortaleza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Fe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
03.12.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
22.11.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Fortaleza CEIF
3:0
23.08.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:0
09.03.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:0
21.09.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:3
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
