Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (330/395) | 80% (266/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (330/395) | 80% (266/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (67/97) | 70% (53/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Velasquez Y. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 50', Balanta J. 🟨,
- 65', Meli M. 🟥,
- 66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
- 69', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 71', Fernandez O. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 0, Marulanda J. ⚽,
- 77', Florez K. 🟨,
- 77', Balanta J. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
- 79', Florez K. 🟨,
- 80', Perlaza E. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 84', Ricaurte A. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
- 88', Aristizabal E. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 88', Arroyo A. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 89', Moreno V. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 90+5', Marulanda J. 🟨,
- 90+8', Olivera E. 🟥,
- 90+9', 2 - 0, Valencia S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
33.2% | Draw
30.9% | Independiente Santa Fe
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+19.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(1.88) |
2.99 ↓
(3.7) |
2.64 ↓
(3.7) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Fortaleza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Santa Fe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Fortaleza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
09.03.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:0
21.09.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:3
09.03.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:0
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
