Result
1:2
03/12/2025 at 18:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (263/321) | 82% (346/423) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (263/321) | 82% (346/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (20/44) | 51% (32/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (53/83) | 64% (56/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', Torres D. 🟨,
- 14', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
- 17', Pajaro R. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Arroyo A. ⚽,
- 27', 1 - 1, Aristizabal E. (Own goal),
- 42', 1 - 2, Rodallega H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Velasquez Y. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
- 46', Mafla C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 46', Salas J. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 51', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 62', Pajaro R. ↓, Valencia S. ↑,
- 62', Velasquez J. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 71', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
- 71', Torres J. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 83', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 85', Cuero S. ↓, Lasso M. ↑,
- 87', Moreno V. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
- 88', Molina T. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mosquera A. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
38.6% | Draw
29% | Independiente Santa Fe
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.37) |
3.22 ↑
(3.17) |
2.9 ↓
(3) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 3)
- Fortaleza has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Santa Fe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fortaleza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
22.11.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Fortaleza CEIF
3:0
23.08.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:0
09.03.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:0
21.09.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:3
09.03.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:0
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsFinal| 1 | Junior | Deportes Tolima | 3 : 0 |
