Independiente Santa Fe vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF
Result
2:0
09/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Moncada A. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.69
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
1216
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
48
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Shots inside the Box
58
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
513
Offsides
16
Fouls
135
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
2031
Touches in the Opposition Box
1312
Passes
69% (179/260)82% (319/390)
Passes in the final third
55% (48/88)63% (57/91)
Crosses
12% (2/17)29% (4/14)
Tackles
71% (15/21)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
1925
Interceptions
610

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Perlaza E. 🟨,
  • 35', Perlaza E. , Perlaza Perea Y. A. ,
  • 38', Velasquez Y. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Mafla C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pajaro R. , Barrera J. ,
  • 48', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 57', Velasquez Y. , Torres D. ,
  • 63', Cordoba S. , Lucumi C. ,
  • 71', Sanchez L. , Camacho D. ,
  • 73', Zapata A. , Albornoz O. ,
  • 73', Mosquera H. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 73', Fernandez O. , Angulo J. ,
  • 76', Salas J. , Ricaurte A. ,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Rodallega H. ,
  • 89', Cortez S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Santa Fe
53.5%
Draw
27.3%
Fortaleza CEIF
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 28.3% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 28.4% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.75)
    3.41
    (3.26)
    4.97
    (4.84)
    6.5%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF?
  • Users Predictions: Independiente Santa Fe will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Santa Fe is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Santa Fe is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Fe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santa Fe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe 1:3
    09.03.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF 2:0
    Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )