Result
1:1
09/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (277/372) | 73% (219/298) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (277/372) | 73% (219/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/62) | 37% (21/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (65/106) | 56% (46/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Velasquez Y. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 0, Olivera E. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
- 28', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 44', Lovera M. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 45+5', Torres D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mosquera A. ↓, Asprilla W. ↑,
- 46', Torres D. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 51', Ferreira L. 🟨,
- 52', Palacios L. 🟨,
- 54', Torres J. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 62', Fernandez N. ↓, Darias E. ↑,
- 70', Angulo L. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
- 70', Arezo M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 77', Lemos M. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 89', Fernandez O. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
43.9% | Draw
31.1% | Peñarol de Montevideo
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Santa Fe's performance.Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↓
(2.45) |
3 ↑
(2.94) |
3.72 ↑
(3.14) |
7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Peñarol will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 26.9% – 73.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Santa Fe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Santa Fe might have a minor edge in this game.
- There are questionable in Santa Fe: Murillo E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Peñarol: Herrera N.
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Independiente Santa Fe has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
