Result
3:1
18/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/408) | 81% (318/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (319/408) | 81% (318/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 58% (32/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (73/119) | 57% (42/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Molinas A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 15', 1 - 1, Avalos G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 29', 2 - 1, Gutierrez M. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
- 35', Zabala F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Altamira F. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
- 52', Perez Curci M. 🟨,
- 59', Sosa S. 🟨,
- 68', Perez Curci M. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
- 68', Malcorra I. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 71', Sosa S. ↓, Banega E. ↑,
- 71', Coria A. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
- 71', Martinez D. ↓, Caceres D. ↑,
- 75', Gutierrez M. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 80', Portillo A. 🟨,
- 85', Avalos G. ↓, Tempone F. ↑,
- 85', Portillo A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Millan L. ⚽, Tempone F. (A),
Chances of winning
Independiente
53% | Draw
29.4% | Defensa y Justicia
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Independiente - Defensa y Justicia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.66) |
3.2 ↓
(3.35) |
5.42 ↑
(5.25) |
5.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Defensa y Justicia?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Osorio A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Independiente: Lomonaco K.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Defensa y Justicia?
Independiente has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Independiente?
Defensa y Justicia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
03.06.2024
Defensa y Justicia
-
Independiente
0:0
19.02.2023
Independiente
-
Defensa y Justicia
0:2
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
