Racing vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.94
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
67% (226/335)62% (159/255)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.180.52
Total shots
88
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
179
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
912
Passes
67% (226/335)62% (159/255)
Long passes
35% (25/72)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
47% (49/105)53% (40/75)
Crosses
19% (5/27)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.12
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
129
Tackles
76% (16/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
6651
Clearances
2747
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.520.18
Goals prevented
0.520.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
  • 34', Zuculini B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Almendra A. E. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 64', Vergara D. , Balboa A. ,
  • 64', Martirena Torres G. N. , Mura F. ,
  • 64', Rojas G. , Barrios M. ,
  • 65', Zuculini B. , Di Cesare M. ,
  • 73', Abaldo M. , Mazzantti W. ,
  • 76', Conechny T. 🟨,
  • 81', Loyola F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 81', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
28.6%
Draw
51.5%
Independiente
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 30% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 30.4% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+19.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Racing - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.29
    (1.93)
    2.61
    (3.13)
    7.55
    (4.39)
    -29.6%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Racing - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
    • Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Independiente's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Racing might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Racing: Rojo M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Racing: Nardoni J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Independiente were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Racing - Independiente 0:0
    24.02.2024 Independiente - Racing 0:1
    30.09.2023 Racing - Independiente 0:2
    16.04.2023 Independiente - Racing 1:1
    Latest results of Racing
    23.09.2025 Racing - Vélez Sársfield 1:0
    16.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Racing 0:1
    12.09.2025 Racing - San Lorenzo 2:0
    31.08.2025 Racing - Unión Santa Fe 2:3
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1064012:5722
    2Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    3Union de Santa Fe1044216:10616
    4Defensa y Justicia1037013:8516
    5Lanus943215:12315
    6Talleres Cordoba1043310:9115
    7Boca Juniors1035211:7414
    8Independiente1035216:13314
    9Platense103526:6014
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1032511:13-211
    13Gimnasia Mendoza102356:12-69
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys100376:22-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1062216:12420
    2Belgrano1054111:7419
    3Rosario Central1053212:7518
    4Tigre1045116:9717
    5River Plate1052312:9317
    6Racing Club1043313:9415
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Gimnasia L.P1042413:14-114
    9Huracan103439:9013
    10Argentinos Jrs82515:4111
    11Banfield1031611:13-210
    12Sarmiento Junin103166:11-510
    13Atl. Tucuman1013611:16-56
    14Aldosivi90543:9-65
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto101183:15-124

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)