Racing vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Racing - Independiente
Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.94
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
67% (226/335)62% (159/255)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.180.52
Total shots
88
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
179
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
25
Free Kicks
912
Passes
67% (226/335)62% (159/255)
Long passes
35% (25/72)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
47% (49/105)53% (40/75)
Crosses
19% (5/27)0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.12
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
129
Tackles
76% (16/21)55% (6/11)
Duels won
6651
Clearances
2747
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.520.18
Goals prevented
0.520.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
  • 34', Zuculini B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Almendra A. E. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 64', Vergara D. , Balboa A. ,
  • 64', Martirena Torres G. N. , Mura F. ,
  • 64', Rojas G. , Barrios M. ,
  • 65', Zuculini B. , Di Cesare M. ,
  • 73', Abaldo M. , Mazzantti W. ,
  • 76', Conechny T. 🟨,
  • 81', Loyola F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 81', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
28.6%
Draw
51.5%
Independiente
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 30% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 30.4% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+19.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Racing - Independiente Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.14
    (1.93)
    2.51
    (3.13)
    8.34
    (4.39)
    -31.8%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Racing - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
    • Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Independiente's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Racing might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Racing: Rojo M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Racing: Nardoni J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Independiente were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Racing - Independiente 0:0
    24.02.2024 Independiente - Racing 0:1
    30.09.2023 Racing - Independiente 0:2
    16.04.2023 Independiente - Racing 1:1
    Latest results of Racing
    23.09.2025 Racing - Vélez Sársfield 1:0
    16.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Racing 0:1
    12.09.2025 Racing - San Lorenzo 2:0
    31.08.2025 Racing - Unión Santa Fe 2:3
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Defensa y Justicia1254313:10319
    2Central Cordoba1246215:10518
    3Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    4Union de Santa Fe1245316:13317
    5Barracas Central1145213:11217
    6Tigre1245311:9217
    7Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    8Huracan114436:8-216
    9Argentinos Jrs1243512:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1133510:12-212
    13Ind. Rivadavia1125410:12-211
    14Newells Old Boys1225510:18-811
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1164116:7922
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo124449:9016
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8San Martin S.J123549:11-214
    9Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    10Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    11Instituto112635:11-612
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

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