Result
0:0
28/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (226/335) | 62% (159/255) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (226/335) | 62% (159/255) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (25/72) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (49/105) | 53% (40/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 0% (0/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
- 34', Zuculini B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Almendra A. E. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
- 64', Vergara D. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
- 64', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
- 64', Rojas G. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
- 65', Zuculini B. ↓, Di Cesare M. ↑,
- 73', Abaldo M. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
- 76', Conechny T. 🟨,
- 81', Loyola F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 81', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Racing
28.6% | Draw
51.5% | Independiente
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+19.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Racing - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.29 ↑
(1.93) |
2.61 ↓
(3.13) |
7.55 ↑
(4.39) |
-29.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Racing - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
- Racing is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Independiente's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Independiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Racing might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Racing: Rojo M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Racing: Nardoni J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Independiente?
Racing has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Racing?
Independiente has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Independiente were as follows:
25.08.2024
Racing
-
Independiente
0:0
24.02.2024
Independiente
-
Racing
0:1
30.09.2023
Racing
-
Independiente
0:2
16.04.2023
Independiente
-
Racing
1:1
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Independiente | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Lanus | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Huracan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Banfield | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Racing Club | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | River Plate | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
