Independiente vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.661.53
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
36
Passes
72% (241/337)60% (175/294)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.661.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.341.38
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
812
Shots outside the box
50
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
73
Free kicks
149
Passes
72% (241/337)60% (175/294)
Long passes
47% (33/70)22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
63% (87/139)47% (45/95)
Crosses
23% (5/22)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.70
Throw ins
3415
Fouls
914
Tackles
55% (6/11)77% (20/26)
Duels won
6166
Clearances
3352
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
1.380.34
Goals prevented
0.380.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Gordon J. , Godoy D. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Gordon J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Valenzuela M. , Zabala F. ,
  • 46', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 59', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 63', Lanzini M. , Robertone L. ,
  • 63', Godoy D. , Monzon F. ,
  • 75', Pellegrini M. , Veron A. ,
  • 75', Baeza C. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 83', Abaldo M. , Pussetto I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
45%
Draw
31.4%
Vélez Sársfield
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 32.6% 20.2%

Independiente - Vélez Sársfield Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(1.95)
3
(2.83)
4
(4.56)
6.1%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Independiente (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Independiente will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 15 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Independiente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Garayalde N. (Inactive) Monzon F. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 2:1
    12.02.2025 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 3:0
    27.09.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 1:0
    26.05.2024 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    30.01.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 0:1
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield43106:3310
    2Lanus42208:628
    3Estudiantes L.P42204:228
    4Defensa y Justicia42204:228
    5Platense42114:317
    6Boca Juniors42025:416
    7Independiente41304:316
    8San Lorenzo42024:406
    9Gimnasia Mendoza42022:5-36
    10Union de Santa Fe41125:324
    11Talleres Cordoba41125:6-14
    12Central Cordoba41121:2-14
    13Instituto40133:6-31
    14Dep. Riestra40131:4-31
    15Newells Old Boys40134:8-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia44007:3412
    2Tigre431010:3710
    3Belgrano42204:228
    4River Plate42114:407
    5Sarmiento Junin42024:406
    6Gimnasia L.P42025:6-16
    7Barracas Central41213:215
    8Rosario Central41214:405
    9Huracan41214:405
    10Argentinos Jrs41212:205
    11Banfield41123:4-14
    12Aldosivi40312:4-23
    13Racing Club41035:8-33
    14Atl. Tucuman40223:5-22
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto40131:5-41

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