Vélez Sársfield vs Independiente – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.99
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
77% (276/358)71% (209/295)
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.74
Total shots
129
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
2010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
77% (276/358)71% (209/295)
Long passes
52% (26/50)42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
69% (75/109)50% (33/66)
Crosses
18% (5/28)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.26
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1712
Tackles
86% (18/21)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1222
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.741.78
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Lomonaco K. 🟥,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Godoy D. (Pen),
  • 36', Tarzia D. ↓, Paredes F. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Andrada T. 🟨,
  • 52', Galvan T. 🟨,
  • 54', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 55', Andrada T. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
  • 60', Pussetto I. 🟨,
  • 62', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
  • 62', Abaldo M. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
  • 62', Marcone I. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
  • 68', Galvan T. ↓, Braian Romero ↑,
  • 68', Godoy D. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
  • 74', Quiros A. 🟨,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Loyola F. (Pen),
  • 77', Loyola F. 🟨,
  • 82', de Irastorza J. 🟨,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Braian Romero (Pen),
  • 85', Millan L. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
  • 86', Machuca I. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
  • 86', Pizzini F. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
  • 89', Mazzantti W. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Lagos A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Montiel S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
33.5%		Draw
33.5%		Independiente
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 31.6% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 31.7% 30.6%

Vélez Sársfield - Independiente Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.81 ↑
(2.5)		 2.83 ↓
(3)		 2.84 ↓
(3.1)		 6.1%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Independiente?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Vélez (1.90) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DNB - Vélez (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Vélez (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
    • In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Independiente were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 3:0
    27.09.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 1:0
    26.05.2024 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    30.01.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 0:1
    27.08.2023 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 2:1
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    12.08.2025 Fortaleza - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺
    07.08.2025 San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺
    26.07.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Instituto Córdoba 0:0 ✺
    19.07.2025 Platense - Vélez Sársfield 0:0 ✺
    14.07.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Tigre 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Independiente
    13.08.2025 Universidad de Chile - Independiente 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Independiente - River Plate 0:0 ✺
    01.08.2025 Belgrano - Independiente 2:0 ✺
    27.07.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Independiente 1:0 ✺
    20.07.2025 Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba 1:2 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newells Old Boys00000:000
    2Lanus00000:000
    3Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    4San Lorenzo00000:000
    5Independiente00000:000
    6Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    7Boca Juniors00000:000
    8Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    9Talleres Cordoba00000:000
    10Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    11Instituto00000:000
    12Platense00000:000
    13Dep. Riestra00000:000
    14Central Cordoba00000:000
    15Gimnasia Mendoza00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central00000:000
    2Tigre00000:000
    3Argentinos Jrs00000:000
    4Banfield00000:000
    5Gimnasia L.P00000:000
    6Racing Club00000:000
    7Huracan00000:000
    8River Plate00000:000
    9Belgrano00000:000
    10Aldosivi00000:000
    11Atl. Tucuman00000:000
    12Ind. Rivadavia00000:000
    13Sarmiento Junin00000:000
    14Barracas Central00000:000
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy