Independiente vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.661.53
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
36
Passes
72% (241/337)60% (175/294)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.661.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.341.38
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
812
Shots outside the box
50
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
73
Free kicks
149
Passes
72% (241/337)60% (175/294)
Long passes
47% (33/70)22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
63% (87/139)47% (45/95)
Crosses
23% (5/22)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.70
Throw ins
3415
Fouls
914
Tackles
55% (6/11)77% (20/26)
Duels won
6166
Clearances
3352
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
1.380.34
Goals prevented
0.380.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Gordon J. , Godoy D. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Gordon J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Valenzuela M. , Zabala F. ,
  • 46', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 59', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 63', Lanzini M. , Robertone L. ,
  • 63', Godoy D. , Monzon F. ,
  • 75', Pellegrini M. , Veron A. ,
  • 75', Baeza C. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 83', Abaldo M. , Pussetto I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
45%
Draw
31.4%
Vélez Sársfield
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 32.6% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Independiente - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.95)
    3
    (2.83)
    4
    (4.56)
    6.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Independiente (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Independiente will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 15 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Independiente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Garayalde N. (Inactive) Monzon F. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 2:1
    12.02.2025 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 3:0
    27.09.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 1:0
    26.05.2024 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    30.01.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 0:1
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)