Independiente vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.661.53
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
36
Passes
72% (241/337)60% (175/294)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.661.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.341.38
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
812
Shots outside the box
50
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
73
Free kicks
149
Passes
72% (241/337)60% (175/294)
Long passes
47% (33/70)22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
63% (87/139)47% (45/95)
Crosses
23% (5/22)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.70
Throw ins
3415
Fouls
914
Tackles
55% (6/11)77% (20/26)
Duels won
6166
Clearances
3352
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
1.380.34
Goals prevented
0.380.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Gordon J. , Godoy D. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Gordon J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Valenzuela M. , Zabala F. ,
  • 46', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 59', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 63', Lanzini M. , Robertone L. ,
  • 63', Godoy D. , Monzon F. ,
  • 75', Pellegrini M. , Veron A. ,
  • 75', Baeza C. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 83', Abaldo M. , Pussetto I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
45%
Draw
31.4%
Vélez Sársfield
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 32.6% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Independiente - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.95)
    3
    (2.83)
    4
    (4.56)
    6.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Independiente (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Independiente will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 15 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Independiente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Garayalde N. (Inactive) Monzon F. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 2:1
    12.02.2025 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 3:0
    27.09.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 1:0
    26.05.2024 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    30.01.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 0:1
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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