Independiente vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.661.53
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
36
Passes
72% (241/337)60% (175/294)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.661.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.341.38
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
812
Shots outside the box
50
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2625
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
73
Free kicks
149
Passes
72% (241/337)60% (175/294)
Long passes
47% (33/70)22% (13/59)
Passes in final third
63% (87/139)47% (45/95)
Crosses
23% (5/22)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.70
Throw ins
3415
Fouls
914
Tackles
55% (6/11)77% (20/26)
Duels won
6166
Clearances
3352
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
1.380.34
Goals prevented
0.380.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', Baeza C. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Gordon J. , Godoy D. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Gordon J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Valenzuela M. , Zabala F. ,
  • 46', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 59', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
  • 63', Lanzini M. , Robertone L. ,
  • 63', Godoy D. , Monzon F. ,
  • 75', Pellegrini M. , Veron A. ,
  • 75', Baeza C. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 83', Abaldo M. , Pussetto I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
45%
Draw
31.4%
Vélez Sársfield
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 32.6% 20.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Independiente - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.95)
    3
    (2.83)
    4
    (4.56)
    6.1%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Independiente (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Independiente (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Independiente will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 15 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Independiente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Independiente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Garayalde N. (Inactive) Monzon F. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 2:1
    12.02.2025 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 3:0
    27.09.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 1:0
    26.05.2024 Independiente - Vélez Sársfield 1:1
    30.01.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Independiente 0:1
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano74309:4515
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5River Plate83238:8011
    6Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    7Banfield83149:9010
    8Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    9Barracas Central82336:7-19
    10Huracan72325:6-19
    11Racing Club72238:9-18
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

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