Result
3:0
12/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | AFA Play, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, SI Solo Calcio |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (321/398) | 82% (251/307) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (76/104) | 73% (49/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 19% (4/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 44% (11/25) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', Millan L. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 31', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Sporle A. (A),
- 45+1', Lomonaco K. 🟨,
- 45+4', Montiel S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Santos M. ↓, Braian Romero ↑,
- 46', Pizzini F. ↓, Porcel M. ↑,
- 55', Cavanagh T. 🟨,
- 70', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 70', Vera F. ↓, Paredes F. ↑,
- 70', Avalos G. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 72', Bouzat A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 72', Cavanagh T. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 0, Cabral L. ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
- 82', Tarzia D. ↓, Angulo A. ↑,
- 82', Cabral L. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 83', Gomez E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente
47.7% | Draw
30.6% | Vélez Sársfield
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Independiente - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.05) |
2.95 ↓
(3.13) |
4.2 ↑
(3.91) |
7.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : TyC Sports
What is the prediction for Independiente - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 53.8% – 96.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 2.
- Independiente is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Vélez has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Independiente will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Independiente: Freire N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Machuca I.
(Muscle Injury)
Monzon F.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Independiente to win the game is with odds 2.13.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Independiente won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Vélez Sársfield?
Independiente has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Independiente?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
27.09.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
1:0
26.05.2024
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
30.01.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
0:1
27.08.2023
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
11.02.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
0:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
