Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
China | K-Ball |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2 |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.58 | 0.99 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
77% (276/358) | 71% (209/295) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.58 | 0.99 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.78 | 0.74 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
77% (276/358) | 71% (209/295) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (26/50) | 42% (28/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (75/109) | 50% (33/66) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (5/28) | 50% (2/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.98 | 0.26 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (18/21) | 50% (6/12) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 22 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.74 | 1.78 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.26 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Lomonaco K. 🟥,
- 35', 1 - 0, Godoy D. (Pen),
- 36', Tarzia D. ↓, Paredes F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Andrada T. 🟨,
- 52', Galvan T. 🟨,
- 54', Marcone I. 🟨,
- 55', Andrada T. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 60', Pussetto I. 🟨,
- 62', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 62', Abaldo M. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
- 62', Marcone I. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
- 68', Galvan T. ↓, Braian Romero ↑,
- 68', Godoy D. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
- 74', Quiros A. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 1, Loyola F. (Pen),
- 77', Loyola F. 🟨,
- 82', de Irastorza J. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 1, Braian Romero (Pen),
- 85', Millan L. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
- 86', Machuca I. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 86', Pizzini F. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
- 89', Mazzantti W. 🟨,
- 90+1', Lagos A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Montiel S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield 33.5% | Draw 33.5% | Independiente 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Vélez Sársfield - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.81 ↑ (2.5) |
2.83 ↓ (3) |
2.84 ↓ (3.1) |
6.1% (5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Vélez (votes: 7 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
- In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Independiente is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Independiente?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Vélez Sársfield?
Independiente has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Independiente were as follows:
12.02.2025
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:0
27.09.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
1:0
26.05.2024
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
30.01.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Independiente
0:1
27.08.2023
Independiente
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Barracas Central | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
2 | Defensa y Justicia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
3 | Estudiantes L.P | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
4 | Huracan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
5 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
6 | Belgrano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Tigre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
8 | Central Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
11 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 11 |
2 | Lanus | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
3 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
5 | Rosario Central | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Dep. Riestra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Gimnasia L.P | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
10 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
11 | San Martin S.J | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
12 | Talleres Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Instituto | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 5 |
14 | Godoy Cruz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Independiente | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)