Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (269/359) | 70% (246/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (269/359) | 70% (246/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (34/81) | 25% (14/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (76/128) | 52% (54/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 34', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
47.6% | Draw
25.2% | Birmingham Legion
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indy Eleven that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.93) |
3.7 ↑
(3.43) |
3.44 ↓
(3.6) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
- Recent performances by Indy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Birmingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Indy might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Birmingham Legion?
Indy Eleven has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Indy Eleven?
Birmingham Legion has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
04.06.2025
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
0:1
19.10.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Birmingham Legion
3:2
09.06.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
0:1
09.08.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Birmingham Legion
4:0
17.06.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
2:1
Latest results of Indy Eleven
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
