Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, ESPN+, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (269/359) | 70% (246/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (269/359) | 70% (246/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (34/81) | 25% (14/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (76/128) | 52% (54/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 34', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
47.6% | Draw
25.2% | Birmingham Legion
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indy Eleven that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.93) |
3.7 ↑
(3.43) |
3.44 ↓
(3.6) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
- Recent performances by Indy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Birmingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Indy might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Birmingham Legion?
Indy Eleven has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Indy Eleven?
Birmingham Legion has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
04.06.2025
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
0:1
19.10.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Birmingham Legion
3:2
09.06.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
0:1
09.08.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Birmingham Legion
4:0
17.06.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Indy Eleven
2:1
Latest results of Indy Eleven
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Charleston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Detroit | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Brooklyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Loudoun | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakland Roots | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Orange County SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | El Paso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Tulsa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | Lexington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | New Mexico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
