Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion
Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, ESPN+, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.37
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
75% (269/359)70% (246/349)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.11
Total shots
76
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
174
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
45
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
75% (269/359)70% (246/349)
Long passes
42% (34/81)25% (14/57)
Passes in final third
59% (76/128)52% (54/104)
Crosses
19% (5/26)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.300.32
Throw-ins
1325
Fouls
1712
Tackles
82% (14/17)50% (4/8)
Duels won
5539
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
135
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.111.93
Goals prevented
-0.89-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, ,
  • 34', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
47.6%
Draw
25.2%
Birmingham Legion
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 26.8% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 23.8% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indy Eleven that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.93)
    3.7
    (3.43)
    3.44
    (3.6)
    7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
    • Recent performances by Indy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birmingham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Indy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Indy might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    04.06.2025 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1
    19.10.2024 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 3:2
    09.06.2024 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 0:1
    09.08.2023 Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion 4:0
    17.06.2023 Birmingham Legion - Indy Eleven 2:1
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    USL Championship Table
    Main

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City30227156:193773
    2Charleston30195662:323062
    3North Carolina301361140:39145
    4Hartford Athletic301351248:361244
    5Pittsburgh301281032:28444
    6Loudoun301261245:48-342
    7Rhode Island301081229:29038
    8Detroit309101133:35-237
    9Indy Eleven301051544:52-835
    10Tampa Bay30971443:50-734
    11Miami FC30861629:44-1530
    12Birmingham305121336:50-1427


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa30169550:302057
    2New Mexico301461045:41448
    3Sacramento Republic30139844:271748
    4El Paso301011947:45241
    5San Antonio301171239:38140
    6Phoenix Rising30913848:48040
    7Orange County SC301091144:45-139
    8Colorado Springs301071335:47-1237
    9Lexington30991231:42-1136
    10Oakland Roots30881442:52-1032
    11Monterey Bay30781527:45-1829
    12Las Vegas Lights30691523:50-2727

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